NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	3.9 [1003]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +22.0%
New Orleans Hornets	110		Comeback	1.0 [951]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -7.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	14	65%	0.13	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	42%	-0.03	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	22	49%	-0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.01	16	61%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	15	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	14	93%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	18	60%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	3.7	33.0	18.5	23.4	2.8	28.3	139.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.7%

NOH +10.1%

UTA -9.2%

NOH +7.0%

NOH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.4	107.7	118.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		111.2	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.2	16.6	15.7	15.8
NOH	13.7	15.5	16.1	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.17	9	-21	30	13.7	16.1	-2.43	16.1	15.4	0.64
Jarron Collins	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-15	18	13.3	16.6	-3.31	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Ronnie Brewer	58	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-20	28	15.4	16.5	-1.15	16.5	13.7	2.85
Paul Millsap	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-6	0	17.5	14.8	2.63	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Matt Harpring	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-2	-8	17.1	15.1	2.00	13.5	16.6	-3.14
Kyle Korver	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	4	-20	16.2	15.7	0.51	12.3	16.0	-3.74
Ronnie Price	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-8	4	16.8	15.2	1.68	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Mehmet Okur	75	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-12	12	16.1	14.1	2.08	16.0	13.1	2.93
Andrei Kirilenko	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	15.5	16.1	-0.59	16.6	14.3	2.28
Deron Williams	77	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	0	-12	15.6	17.0	-1.44	15.5	15.9	-0.46
Carlos Boozer	51	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	9	-30	15.2	16.5	-1.33	16.0	14.9	1.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-3	18	15.6	14.9	0.70	16.1	13.5	2.63
Tyson Chandler	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	2	8	16.0	13.8	2.28	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Peja Stojakovic	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	15.4	16.2	-0.83	15.8	15.4	0.47
Jannero Pargo	47	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	-5	22	14.7	16.3	-1.62	16.0	15.5	0.48
Chris Paul	82	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	15.6	14.8	0.80	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Mike James	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	10	-8	14.8	15.6	-0.80	16.7	15.6	1.08
Morris Peterson	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	17	-22	16.3	14.7	1.62	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Rasual Butler	12	11	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	11	-10	16.2	15.4	0.83	15.4	15.8	-0.47
Hilton Armstrong	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	10	-8	13.8	16.0	-2.28	17.1	15.4	1.71
Ryan Bowen	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.9	15.6	-0.70	13.5	16.1	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 85, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	94.6%
NOP 101, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.91,1	94.1%