NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	3.6 [1116]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): +8.2%
Denver Nuggets	111		Comeback	1.0 [1277]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -6.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	59%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	10	63%	0.11	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	71%	0.09	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	13	55%	0.01	4	-0.02	14	86%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.01	9	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	31.5	16.3	24.8	1.8	34.2	136.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.1%

DEN +15.7%

DEN +15.0%

MEM -0.2%

DEN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.6	15.5	101.0	109.9	104.0
season	16.4	14.8		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	14.3	13.6	14.8	14.9
DEN	12.5	12.9	14.1	15.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Burks	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	9.9	15.3	-5.44	15.2	13.5	1.76
Dahntay Jones	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	8.2	15.2	-6.90	15.4	13.5	1.86
Shane Battier	35	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-8	7	14.7	15.0	-0.26	13.2	13.9	-0.66
Pau Gasol	36	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-3	-3	16.3	14.1	2.21	13.1	13.9	-0.78
Earl Watson	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.0	15.6	-1.59	14.1	13.3	0.78
Jason Williams	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	3	-15	16.5	13.4	3.16	12.7	14.5	-1.83
James Posey	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	1	-11	14.3	15.4	-1.11	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Bonzi Wells	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.1	-0.44	13.8	13.4	0.39
Mike Miller	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	15.5	13.2	2.36	13.7	13.4	0.33
Lorenzen Wright	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	0	-9	15.9	12.8	3.06	13.2	14.4	-1.17
Brian Cardinal	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	13.9	16.6	-2.66	14.2	12.6	1.68

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-10	29	13.7	13.5	0.18	15.7	13.2	2.52
Kenyon Martin	63	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-12	33	13.5	13.9	-0.38	16.6	11.7	4.91
Marcus Camby	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-9	27	12.5	14.5	-2.02	16.1	13.9	2.19
Earl Boykins	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	8	-7	14.0	13.0	1.07	14.0	16.2	-2.18
Wesley Person	47	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	7	-5	13.6	13.7	-0.11	13.3	16.3	-2.96
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	9	-9	13.6	13.7	-0.08	15.3	13.7	1.66
DerMarr Johnson	52	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	12.9	14.4	-1.54	15.6	14.1	1.52
Nene	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	13	-17	14.5	12.7	1.80	13.5	16.6	-3.18
Eduardo Najera	41	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.47	-15	24	-39	14.3	13.2	1.11	12.6	16.3	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 101, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%