NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	5.8 [626]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +22.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.9 [1177]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -4.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.23	0.06	0.06	22	69%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	16	60%	0.18	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	13	79%	0.21	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.22	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Chimezie Metu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	5	110%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	68%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.02	0.07	18	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.03	31	46%	0.05	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	31.4	14.5	24.2	1.8	32.2	133.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.9%

PHX +14.6%

POR -6.4%

POR -0.6%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	14.5	130.9	119.6	113.9
season	14.6	14.8		116.1	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		116.2	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	12.3	13.7	16.9	14.2
POR	15.6	14.8	15.1	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	56	57	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.07	18	-7	25	13.1	15.8	-2.69	16.1	14.6	1.47
Devin Booker	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-6	23	13.7	16.7	-3.01	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Grayson Allen	66	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	-2	15	13.8	15.2	-1.42	16.1	14.1	2.02
Bradley Beal	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	14.6	12.8	1.87	14.9	17.7	-2.82
Kevin Durant	76	74	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	11	-11	14.6	12.8	1.87	15.7	14.8	0.89
Keita Bates-Diop	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	6	-1	13.9	14.3	-0.42	15.7	15.4	0.26
Chimezie Metu	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	10	-9	15.3	13.6	1.69	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Eric Gordon	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	12	-13	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	7	-3	13.7	14.3	-0.55	14.2	15.6	-1.32
Josh Okogie	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	17	-23	16.7	13.8	2.91	15.4	15.5	-0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rayan Rupert	27	28	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-15	19	16.0	15.2	0.79	15.9	13.6	2.34
Justin Minaya	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-7	3	17.2	14.6	2.57	14.7	14.0	0.64
Toumani Camara	47	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.73	14.7	13.8	0.86
Duop Reath	78	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-9	7	15.7	14.5	1.23	14.0	15.2	-1.15
Kris Murray	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.13	14.2	14.4	-0.27
Scoot Henderson	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	1	-13	15.2	16.8	-1.58	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Anfernee Simons	85	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	0	-11	15.1	17.9	-2.80	14.2	14.6	-0.45
Jabari Walker	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	4	-19	15.1	16.0	-0.87	13.6	15.3	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MIA 113, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.8%
SEA 102, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0	93.7%