NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	7.6 [338]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +42.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	129		Comeback	2.8 [862]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): -3.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.19	0.05	18	67%	0.33	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Brandin Podziemski	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.06	0.04	14	79%	0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	23	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lester Quinones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.03	-0.08	13	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.17	0.22	-0.03	13	86%	0.47	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	19	60%	0.27	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.09
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.08	0.05	22	63%	0.23	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.02	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	25.7	14.0	30.3	2.5	30.5	128.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +12.8%

MIL +28.3%

MIL +16.6%

GSW -4.5%

GSW -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.5	119.2	130.3	113.9
season	14.3	14.3		116.2	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.8	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	14.7	18.2	12.6	15.2
MIL	11.6	16.0	13.1	15.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	36	34	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-18	25	16.8	14.3	2.56	14.8	13.4	1.38
Lester Quinones	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-20	29	13.3	16.3	-3.04	15.2	13.1	2.14
Klay Thompson	70	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-3	-5	15.8	13.8	1.99	14.4	12.5	1.94
Cory Joseph	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	0	-11	16.3	14.6	1.69	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Dario Saric	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.9	13.7	2.22	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Brandin Podziemski	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-10	9	14.7	16.8	-2.08	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Trayce Jackson-Davis	40	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	14.6	15.6	-0.93	13.0	14.5	-1.41
Andrew Wiggins	67	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	3	-17	15.4	14.8	0.58	13.9	13.8	0.12
Jonathan Kuminga	64	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	7	-25	14.1	17.2	-3.09	13.4	14.8	-1.38

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	78	78	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-10	31	13.3	16.2	-2.98	15.5	14.0	1.53
Malik Beasley	60	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-3	17	13.5	14.5	-0.94	15.5	14.7	0.80
Andre Jackson Jr.	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	11	-11	14.9	12.6	2.30	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Pat Connaughton	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	13.7	14.1	-0.41	15.2	15.2	0.09
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	10	-9	14.2	13.1	1.08	15.4	14.6	0.76
Bobby Portis	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	13.2	14.4	-1.23	15.3	15.1	0.13
Khris Middleton	69	69	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	13	-15	14.5	12.6	1.90	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Brook Lopez	70	69	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	4	3	14.0	13.7	0.28	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Chris Livingston	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	10	-9	4.0	14.0	-9.99	13.5	15.2	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.0%
HOU 87, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	92.0%
MIN 99, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%