NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	124		Excitement	5.2 [749]		MVP	Josh Green (DAL): +21.2%
Dallas Mavericks	128		Comeback	1.0 [475]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -8.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.10	0.04	13	73%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	22	57%	0.11	4	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	80%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	23	60%	0.12	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Precious Achiuwa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Miles McBride	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0.05	10	48%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	12	69%	0.21	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.02	0.03	26	72%	0.28	5	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.08	-0.08	0.18	-0.20	0.07	20	68%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	32.5	15.3	30.5	2.5	34.3	143.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.2%

NYK -1.2%

DAL +29.7%

DAL +15.2%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	14.5	124.0	125.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.3		116.8	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		113.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.6	12.8	17.2	11.8	14.7
DAL	13.7	12.4	13.4	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	31	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-7	10	15.4	14.4	1.01	14.2	13.6	0.56
OG Anunoby	82	84	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.53	14	-18	32	13.9	18.5	-4.61	14.1	12.5	1.58
Quentin Grimes	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	4	-12	14.8	14.7	0.08	14.4	13.5	0.83
Miles McBride	16	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	8	-20	15.6	14.6	1.00	14.9	13.6	1.29
Jalen Brunson	84	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-12	20	14.6	15.6	-1.00	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Donte DiVincenzo	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	2	-8	15.1	14.1	1.01	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Isaiah Hartenstein	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	3	-10	14.4	15.4	-1.01	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Josh Hart	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	7	-18	15.3	14.2	1.06	13.8	13.8	0.02
Julius Randle	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.0	0.92	13.5	14.7	-1.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	82	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-8	20	13.7	14.0	-0.31	15.0	13.6	1.40
Kyrie Irving	83	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-5	14	13.7	14.1	-0.31	14.7	14.7	0.04
Jaden Hardy	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-10	24	12.8	14.7	-1.86	14.9	14.5	0.35
Dwight Powell	53	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	14.9	12.6	2.25	16.2	12.9	3.31
Derrick Jones Jr.	76	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	10	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.37	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Grant Williams	61	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	8	-12	13.0	14.9	-1.88	13.7	16.2	-2.58
Markieff Morris	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	-2	8	12.3	14.0	-1.67	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Josh Green	75	72	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.50	-15	19	-34	14.5	11.8	2.76	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Seth Curry	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	14.4	13.6	0.79	14.3	14.8	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
OKC 138, ATL 141	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
TOR 74, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%