inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 138 Excitement4.5 [881] MVPBogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +20.3%
Atlanta Hawks 141 Comeback1.0 [810] LVPIsaiah Joe (OKC): -3.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.03793%0.0900.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.010.04975%0.0900.002100%0.01
Lindy Waters III0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01675%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Josh Giddey0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.01-0.05756%0.092-0.03250%-0.00
Jalen Williams0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.010.071272%0.092-0.04540%-0.02
Luguentz Dort0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.06770%0.0400.006100%0.02
Jaylin Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.030.10-0.000.072456%0.072-0.051182%0.00
Chet Holmgren-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02967%0.044-0.0800%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01856%-0.002-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.140.01-0.051664%0.2000.004100%0.02
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.170.170.170.020.011870%0.181-0.004100%0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.05-0.031855%0.153-0.064100%0.02
Clint Capela0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.01867%0.0800.002100%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.03485%0.0800.005100%0.02
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.013100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011365%0.126-0.091191%0.02
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.01-0.00371%0.051-0.0210%-0.01
Saddiq Bey0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.051238%0.0300.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.72.526.414.638.22.334.3147.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +25.0%
ATL +8.7%
ATL +8.8%
ATL +5.8%
ATL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game12.614.314.5129.0131.8113.9
season13.914.2117.1115.7
opponent14.314.7118.0109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.711.413.710.512.6
ATL11.912.614.019.514.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luguentz Dort6564-0.09-0.410.31-0.4211-142511.614.1-2.4515.512.62.85
Lindy Waters III4545-0.14-0.360.22-0.295-81312.412.7-0.3214.614.10.50
Chet Holmgren5556-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-2112.312.9-0.6114.614.00.55
Josh Giddey5151-0.18-0.320.13-0.211-4512.312.9-0.5614.314.3-0.03
Jalen Williams8077-0.24-0.260.01-0.333-6911.815.0-3.2015.311.83.49
Jaylin Williams3332-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-107-1714.911.63.3712.615.1-2.49
Aaron Wiggins4647-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-74-1112.113.0-0.8414.913.90.97
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7879-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.402-5712.812.00.8813.915.6-1.71
Cason Wallace4243-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-1613-2914.211.62.6113.115.1-1.95
Isaiah Joe4041-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-30-313.312.21.0712.915.2-2.36

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Saddiq Bey81810.470.030.440.306-3913.516.7-3.1512.712.20.55
Onyeka Okongwu49490.400.100.30-0.0114-112514.014.6-0.6413.411.91.51
Dejounte Murray79790.400.100.290.284-1514.114.9-0.7912.612.7-0.10
Bogdan Bogdanovic60620.390.110.280.0711-81914.114.6-0.5113.311.61.74
Trent Forrest30310.310.190.130.117-41112.115.2-3.1216.011.24.78
Jalen Johnson66660.300.200.100.33-14-515.212.92.3211.115.1-4.00
Trae Young77760.210.29-0.080.48-912-2114.912.82.1411.714.9-3.19
Clint Capela57560.090.41-0.330.35-912-2114.414.20.2812.213.0-0.82
Garrison Mathews3635-0.070.57-0.640.16-811-1916.113.42.6712.412.7-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 88, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
NJN 86, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
TOR 74, CLE 930.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%