NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	102		Excitement	3.1 [1157]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +12.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.0 [964]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): -7.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonnie Walker IV	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.00	0.06	12	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.05	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.04
Trendon Watford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	21	49%	-0.00	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	7	19%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	0.01	0.09	18	53%	-0.02	4	-0.06	13	92%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.03	30	62%	0.19	7	-0.07	13	85%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	12	67%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	12	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	29.4	14.7	33.3	2.4	42.4	150.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.1%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +8.0%

CLE +14.1%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CLE	NBA	BKN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.5	100.0	107.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		111.9	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.3	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.9	13.6	13.4	12.1	14.1
CLE	13.4	13.6	14.3	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-20	31	13.3	14.4	-1.09	14.8	13.7	1.13
Harry Giles III	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	9.8	14.4	-4.55	20.2	13.6	6.57
Dennis Smith Jr.	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-15	21	13.3	14.9	-1.56	14.9	13.1	1.79
Lonnie Walker IV	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-11	13	12.6	16.0	-3.39	14.0	14.0	0.04
Nic Claxton	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.4	13.4	1.02	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Royce O'Neale	34	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	14.3	14.0	0.26	15.0	13.4	1.57
Cam Thomas	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-11	13	13.3	16.2	-2.97	14.7	12.1	2.56
Dorian Finney-Smith	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	8	-25	16.9	13.0	3.94	12.6	14.6	-1.99
Cameron Johnson	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	15.8	12.6	3.19	12.8	15.0	-2.23
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.25	-20	11	-31	16.2	13.1	3.05	12.2	14.8	-2.60
Mikal Bridges	82	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	13.8	15.4	-1.66	13.7	15.1	-1.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	89	88	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	13.1	19.5	-6.39	14.2	13.4	0.88
Isaac Okoro	73	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	3	3	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.3	13.4	0.90
Jarrett Allen	83	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	13.7	15.3	-1.70	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Dean Wade	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	1	7	12.8	15.5	-2.67	15.2	12.8	2.36
Caris LeVert	76	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	9	-9	14.6	12.4	2.18	13.1	16.7	-3.64
Sam Merrill	68	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	14.9	12.1	2.78	13.3	15.5	-2.15
Georges Niang	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	8	-7	15.5	13.2	2.24	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Tristan Thompson	20	22	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	6	-3	15.3	13.7	1.70	14.5	14.0	0.49
Max Strus	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	1	7	12.9	14.1	-1.22	17.8	13.5	4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 78, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 75, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
UTA 64, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%