NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	132		Excitement	12.5 [11]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +72.6%
Atlanta Hawks	139		Comeback	12.5 [124]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -15.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	24	58%	0.30	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Tyrese Maxey	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.08	-0.06	29	52%	0.28	3	-0.10	9	78%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	90%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jaden Springer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	11	29%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
KJ Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.03	0.10	-0.13	0.00	9	71%	0.15	1	-0.18	6	100%	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.73	0.73	0.20	0.53	0.01	13	78%	0.75	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.10
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.12	0.04	10	76%	0.28	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.08	0.01	18	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	22%	-0.13
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	16	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	16	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	22	48%	0.00	5	-0.16	14	86%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	27.1	14.8	31.6	2.0	32.5	2.7	12.4	154.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -1.9%

ATL +20.8%

ATL +16.0%

ATL +10.0%

ATL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	14.5	117.9	124.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		115.6	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.0	12.8	15.5	15.0	15.4	14.1
ATL	13.7	13.4	15.8	14.4	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	89	91	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.28	2	-9	11	14.1	14.2	-0.08	14.4	13.8	0.64
Paul Reed	41	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-5	3	12.9	14.8	-1.90	14.9	13.9	0.93
KJ Martin	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-9	11	12.5	14.3	-1.77	15.2	14.2	0.99
Mo Bamba	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-2	-3	16.7	13.2	3.50	12.3	15.1	-2.80
De'Anthony Melton	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-8	9	14.1	14.1	0.01	15.5	13.5	2.04
Nicolas Batum	79	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-9	11	13.5	15.6	-2.13	14.7	13.2	1.45
Tobias Harris	87	87	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-8	9	13.7	15.7	-2.02	14.7	13.0	1.66
Jaden Springer	27	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	15.2	13.8	1.42	14.7	14.2	0.48
Kelly Oubre Jr.	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.1	14.1	-0.01	13.5	15.5	-2.04
Marcus Morris Sr.	53	53	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.61	-10	3	-13	14.7	13.6	1.16	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Patrick Beverley	29	27	-0.97	0.47	-1.43	-0.53	-15	8	-23	14.9	13.8	1.02	12.3	14.9	-2.62

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	59	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.63	12	-5	17	14.1	14.4	-0.29	15.7	12.4	3.32
Trae Young	95	94	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	0	7	14.1	15.6	-1.54	13.7	16.4	-2.78
Jalen Johnson	90	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	1	5	14.1	15.0	-0.83	13.6	15.9	-2.25
Bruno Fernando	37	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	-1	9	13.5	14.7	-1.23	15.8	13.3	2.50
Trent Forrest	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	1	5	14.8	14.0	0.79	17.0	12.8	4.17
Dejounte Murray	80	80	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	6	-5	14.4	13.9	0.49	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Onyeka Okongwu	75	75	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	14.7	13.5	1.23	13.3	15.8	-2.50
Patty Mills	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	7	-7	13.7	14.4	-0.65	12.8	14.3	-1.51
Saddiq Bey	78	77	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	-0.42	-4	11	-15	14.6	13.6	0.96	13.5	15.5	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.57,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	87.0%
UTA 104, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	86.9%
DEN 103, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	86.3%