NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	13.0 [5]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DEN): +24.6%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	5.3 [196]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): -38.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	8	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.16
Olden Polynice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	0.01	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.07
Adam Keefe	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.18	0.01	-0.22	-0.02	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.26	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.12,0.14,-0.18	0.00	-0.19	0.00	10	50%	-0.08	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.04	-0.31	0.00	10	54%	-0.18	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	0.01	18	73%	0.28	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.09
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	9	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.20
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	14	42%	0.02	4	-0.19	3	67%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38	-0.38	-0.09	-0.29	0.00	17	39%	-0.32	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	25.5	15.7	27.5	2.2	34.5	1.7	12.7	142.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.1%

UTA -29.4%

UTA -19.4%

DEN +80.0%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.2	103.0	105.0	101.7
season	16.3	14.8		104.5	101.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		103.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.2	17.5	13.6	14.9	20.4	15.8
DEN	14.5	16.0	15.8	15.1	22.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	31	30	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-3	5	13.7	16.7	-3.00	15.9	15.8	0.16
Jeff Hornacek	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-2	3	13.7	16.7	-3.00	16.2	15.7	0.54
Karl Malone	36	36	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-2	3	13.5	17.1	-3.56	16.2	15.6	0.67
Olden Polynice	22	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	13.5	16.5	-3.03	16.1	15.7	0.35
Greg Ostertag	44	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.21	-6	5	-11	15.8	15.8	-0.05	14.4	16.9	-2.42
Scott Padgett	46	44	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-3	5	16.6	15.2	1.45	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Bryon Russell	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	4	-9	13.8	17.1	-3.35	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Jacque Vaughn	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	0	-1	16.3	15.0	1.36	14.9	17.3	-2.46
Howard Eisley	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	1	-3	16.1	15.7	0.49	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Adam Keefe	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-7	13	16.8	14.5	2.30	15.9	15.8	0.08
Quincy Lewis	35	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	0	-1	17.3	15.0	2.33	16.8	15.3	1.52
Armen Gilliam	51	50	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.73	-1	0	-1	17.6	14.0	3.61	15.9	15.7	0.20

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	81	81	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.41	19	-18	37	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Raef LaFrentz	76	77	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-12	25	15.6	16.5	-0.84	15.6	16.5	-0.83
James Posey	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-6	13	16.0	15.2	0.82	15.5	17.1	-1.61
Chris Gatling	43	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	2	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.21	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Keon Clark	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-7	15	14.2	16.6	-2.31	17.4	15.1	2.32
George McCloud	82	84	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.47	-11	12	-23	16.3	13.8	2.42	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Ryan Bowen	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	17.1	15.7	1.42	15.4	15.9	-0.41
Chris Herren	32	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	11	-21	16.0	15.7	0.31	16.3	15.6	0.72
Antonio McDyess	50	51	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	6	-11	15.9	15.8	0.08	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Roy Rogers	16	17	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	12	-23	16.9	15.6	1.26	16.5	15.7	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 116, DEN 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.72,1	89.6%
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	88.8%
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	88.8%