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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 116 Excitement11.8 [15] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +54.2%
Denver Nuggets 119 Comeback83.0 [22] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -20.8%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.410,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.200.220.001871%0.4100.00250%-0.01
Tyreke Evans0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.150.020.13-0.002254%0.334-0.17650%-0.05
John Salmons0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.130.050.080.00878%0.223-0.092100%0.02
Francisco Garcia0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.090.030.04-0.021150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.02962%0.071-0.023100%0.01
Travis Outlaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02636%-0.022-0.03250%-0.01
Isaiah Thomas-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.120.00-0.01835%0.034-0.13475%0.03
DeMarcus Cousins-0.130,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.05-0.00542%-0.033-0.10250%-0.02
Jimmer Fredette-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.120.00844%-0.061-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.540.540.160.390.002063%0.571-0.031191%0.30
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.41,0.410.410.150.270.01980%0.441-0.03786%0.12
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.21,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,0.190.19-0.030.22-0.001650%0.323-0.1300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00653%0.0600.00560%-0.05
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.00350%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01467%0.0300.00450%-0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01850%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.01550%0.023-0.092100%0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.070.001447%-0.052-0.052100%0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21-0.21-0.11-0.12-0.02325%-0.084-0.122100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.72.425.716.427.81.840.42.414.3156.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC -28.1%
DEN +69.9%
SAC -4.9%
DEN +12.0%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game15.114.715.6107.4112.3102.8
season14.914.5102.2107.5
opponent15.815.1104.5107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC14.215.514.615.416.715.1
DEN14.615.113.114.618.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Hayes33300.58-1.081.660.2611-142515.115.00.0914.914.60.33
Jimmer Fredette36340.36-0.861.220.0710-132314.515.3-0.8315.714.21.54
DeMarcus Cousins35360.11-0.610.720.14-1-2115.714.80.9314.214.9-0.75
Travis Outlaw15150.05-0.550.60-0.012-5717.114.72.4115.014.60.40
Hassan Whiteside2728-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-30-314.715.2-0.5215.114.50.61
Jason Thompson6462-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-41-515.015.1-0.0214.914.30.59
Marcus Thornton7575-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-52-714.915.4-0.5313.916.5-2.58
Isaiah Thomas5050-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-52-713.816.2-2.3814.115.2-1.06
Francisco Garcia5151-0.560.06-0.63-0.50-2-1-115.314.90.4114.614.7-0.06
John Salmons5957-0.570.07-0.64-0.39-63-916.013.92.0414.614.7-0.14
Tyreke Evans8684-0.790.29-1.09-0.53-96-1514.716.4-1.6414.714.7-0.03

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington68710.97-0.471.440.6212-92114.614.7-0.0815.414.40.99
Andre Miller62630.60-0.100.700.378-51314.515.0-0.5015.814.11.70
Arron Afflalo89920.51-0.010.530.4330314.316.6-2.3715.412.82.63
Corey Brewer47480.470.030.450.4121114.714.60.0413.416.4-2.99
Kenneth Faried70690.380.120.250.3512-114.614.7-0.0515.214.80.33
Ty Lawson86880.230.27-0.040.35-47-1115.212.52.6614.417.8-3.43
Danilo Gallinari37370.230.27-0.050.056-3913.915.1-1.2215.215.00.20
Nene3234-0.040.54-0.59-0.01-14-513.915.0-1.1314.915.1-0.21
Timofey Mozgov1314-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-36-917.414.33.1113.915.2-1.38
Chris Andersen2827-0.250.75-1.00-0.13-47-1114.914.60.3615.215.00.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 104, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,189.6%
NYK 89, WAS 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.73,187.7%
SAS 118, DAL 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.69,0.92,187.7%