NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	103		Excitement	8.9 [141]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +22.1%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.7 [1144]		LVP	Rodney White (DEN): -20.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.22	0.07	0.18	0.03	10	82%	0.30	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.22	-0.01	0.22	-0.01	14	50%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	17	63%	0.22	1	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Junior Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Trepagnier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney White	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.21	-0.01	-0.20	0.00	11	54%	-0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.16	0.00	9	61%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,0.2	0.20	-0.06	0.27	0.01	25	53%	0.38	5	-0.18	5	60%	-0.09
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	55%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.3	15.8	25.0	2.4	30.0	126.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.2%

DEN -6.4%

DEN -17.7%

SAC +23.5%

SAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.5	103.0	104.0	101.6
season	15.7	14.0		90.4	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.3	15.1	14.7	16.7	14.9
SAC	13.9	12.1	14.2	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	10	11	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-6	10	13.8	15.0	-1.18	16.6	13.5	3.18
Junior Harrington	32	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	13.9	15.3	-1.40	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Jeff Trepagnier	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-1	0	14.3	15.0	-0.70	13.0	14.0	-0.99
Vincent Yarbrough	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	3	-8	15.5	14.5	0.99	14.7	13.3	1.46
Rodney White	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	14.2	15.8	-1.60	13.3	14.5	-1.11
Devin Brown	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.35	12.9	14.8	-1.93
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	7	-16	16.1	14.4	1.71	15.1	13.3	1.79
Juwan Howard	61	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	14.6	15.2	-0.57	12.8	15.4	-2.55
Nene	70	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.54	6	-8	14	14.8	15.0	-0.15	13.8	13.8	-0.07
Shammond Williams	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	15.3	13.9	1.40	14.0	13.4	0.61
Marcus Camby	63	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	6	-14	15.3	14.1	1.24	14.6	12.4	2.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	13.8	13.5	0.30	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Doug Christie	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	13.3	14.6	-1.28	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Vlade Divac	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	13.2	14.8	-1.61	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Peja Stojakovic	79	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	2	-2	13.3	15.5	-2.23	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Bobby Jackson	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	-5	12	13.6	14.0	-0.38	15.3	14.5	0.82
Mike Bibby	64	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	6	-10	13.8	13.9	-0.10	14.1	16.3	-2.22
Scot Pollard	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	0	2	14.8	13.3	1.53	15.9	14.3	1.56
Hedo Turkoglu	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	14.5	13.3	1.15	15.8	14.2	1.65
Jim Jackson	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	15.5	13.0	2.44	16.9	14.0	2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 125, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,1	92.4%
HOU 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.84,1	91.9%
TOR 110, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.57,0.73,1	91.5%