NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	125		Excitement	9.4 [134]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): +49.3%
Toronto Raptors	127		Comeback	6.4 [350]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -29.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.49,0.49	0.16	0.33	-0.00	13	85%	0.54	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.02	22	54%	0.35	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	0.00	4	100%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.19	0.25	-0.01	0.06	9	114%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.07
Jarrett Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	10	65%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Treveon Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.17	-0.13	-0.01	11	27%	-0.12	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.46	0.46	0.10	0.35	-0.01	20	61%	0.52	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	9	80%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.00	9	72%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.16	0.00	8	56%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	13	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	38%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	25.5	15.3	27.6	2.3	32.3	128.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.9%

BKN -1.1%

TOR +28.9%

TOR +2.8%

BKN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	13.6	14.0	14.3	121.4	119.8	109.3
season	14.3	14.3		108.6	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.0		105.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.2	14.5	11.9	13.8	13.6
TOR	14.6	12.7	13.7	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	45	46	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-9	16	14.1	13.2	0.89	14.2	13.8	0.36
Ed Davis	41	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-1	0	13.8	13.4	0.40	13.0	14.6	-1.56
Caris LeVert	48	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-9	16	13.0	14.0	-0.98	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Rodions Kurucs	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	4	-10	12.8	14.0	-1.14	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Shabazz Napier	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	13.9	13.3	0.60	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Allen Crabbe	64	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	13.8	13.1	0.74	14.2	13.6	0.64
Jarrett Allen	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-1	0	13.4	13.8	-0.40	14.6	13.0	1.56
D'Angelo Russell	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-2	2	13.4	14.0	-0.67	14.5	12.9	1.55
Treveon Graham	44	44	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	10	-22	14.5	12.9	1.60	13.5	14.3	-0.76
Joe Harris	64	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	13.1	14.3	-1.16	14.3	13.5	0.80

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	75	72	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	14.1	13.8	0.26	13.0	14.9	-1.92
Kyle Lowry	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	2	-2	14.6	12.7	1.89	13.9	12.8	1.05
Pascal Siakam	79	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	3	-4	14.2	13.4	0.73	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Norman Powell	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	-5	12	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.6	13.0	1.65
Patrick McCaw	45	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	2	-2	12.9	14.8	-1.95	14.3	13.1	1.19
Serge Ibaka	57	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	4	-6	14.9	12.9	1.99	12.9	14.4	-1.48
Marc Gasol	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-2	6	13.2	14.7	-1.51	14.4	12.9	1.48
OG Anunoby	41	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	2	-2	12.9	14.7	-1.73	13.7	13.5	0.29
Kawhi Leonard	75	74	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	9	-16	14.7	12.3	2.36	13.1	14.8	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	92.4%
DEN 83, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.77,0.41,1	91.5%
NYK 81, PHX 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.82,1	91.1%