NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	7.2 [392]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +19.9%
Phoenix Suns	85		Comeback	3.1 [720]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -39.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	7	100%	0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	24	55%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.09	-0.04	9	42%	0.01	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	3	56%	0.01	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.04
Jackie Butler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	5	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.4	-0.26	-0.12	0.01	19	21%	-0.25	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.02	12	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	0.02	0.00	18	37%	0.01	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.3	28.4	17.7	25.0	3.0	40.2	145.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.5%

PHX +6.0%

NYK -6.3%

PHX +22.4%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	13.5	15.6	84.4	87.6	104.4
season	15.7	13.8		102.1	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		105.8	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	15.8	17.9	14.9	16.3
PHX	12.8	13.0	12.6	15.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	27	26	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-11	18	15.0	16.8	-1.77	14.5	13.2	1.30
Anfernee Hardaway	15	15	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	15.2	16.5	-1.32	13.7	13.5	0.22
Malik Rose	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-1	-2	12.7	17.0	-4.32	12.3	13.8	-1.51
Eddy Curry	49	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-5	6	16.8	15.8	0.95	13.6	13.5	0.17
Nate Robinson	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	0	-4	16.9	14.9	2.03	13.8	13.1	0.66
Trevor Ariza	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	0	-4	16.5	16.0	0.53	13.8	13.1	0.68
Maurice Taylor	25	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	16.8	16.1	0.71	15.2	12.9	2.25
Jamal Crawford	58	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	1	-6	15.9	17.0	-1.14	14.0	12.8	1.18
Channing Frye	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	4	-12	16.8	14.2	2.57	12.7	16.8	-4.16
Stephon Marbury	84	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.8	0.55	13.0	17.6	-4.61

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	13.7	12.4	1.21	16.7	12.4	4.27
Shawn Marion	91	90	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	13.4	15.3	-1.90	16.4	15.5	0.87
Raja Bell	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-3	10	13.6	13.3	0.31	16.8	14.2	2.57
Steve Nash	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-3	10	13.5	13.8	-0.30	16.6	15.5	1.08
Eddie House	31	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	-3	10	13.4	13.6	-0.23	16.0	16.4	-0.45
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.27	-3	7	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.69	15.2	17.3	-2.05
James Jones	29	27	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	4	-4	13.5	13.6	-0.04	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Kurt Thomas	53	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.23	-8	12	-20	14.0	13.0	1.00	16.0	16.7	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%
SAC 85, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.0%
DEN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%