NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	5.9 [669]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +19.8%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	3.7 [702]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -12.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	10	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	20	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.12	-0.02	14	63%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.07	-0.04	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	22	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	23.4	16.3	27.0	1.8	26.6	117.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.7%

SAC -0.3%

NJN +9.7%

NJN +6.2%

SAC -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	93.4	102.1	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		108.1	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	17.0	16.0	14.3	15.5
NJN	17.2	14.3	15.3	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	45	46	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-12	13	15.4	15.6	-0.25	16.3	15.0	1.24
Darius Songaila	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	16.5	14.9	1.63	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Eddie House	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-12	13	15.3	15.6	-0.24	15.9	15.5	0.39
Chris Webber	73	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.38	15.9	14.3	1.67
Mike Bibby	68	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	0	-11	15.0	16.9	-1.88	15.8	15.0	0.83
Cuttino Mobley	84	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	15.4	17.1	-1.77	15.7	14.7	0.96
Maurice Evans	47	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	3	-17	16.7	14.3	2.39	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Brad Miller	76	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	6	-23	15.3	16.5	-1.15	15.9	14.2	1.66

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	80	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.10	22	-11	33	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Nenad Krstic	58	58	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.08	21	-10	31	16.0	15.0	1.06	16.8	13.3	3.46
Vince Carter	87	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	0	11	15.4	18.3	-2.87	15.6	14.9	0.69
Jason Collins	67	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-3	17	16.3	14.1	2.18	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Travis Best	35	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	7	-3	15.7	15.6	0.14	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Jacque Vaughn	57	56	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	8	-5	15.7	15.5	0.19	15.8	15.0	0.87
Clifford Robinson	48	44	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.28	14.3	16.6	-2.25
Ron Mercer	23	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	18	-25	15.6	15.6	-0.08	16.3	15.2	1.07
Jabari Smith	15	14	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	23	-35	13.3	16.1	-2.81	14.7	15.6	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
MIL 97, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.0%
CHA 104, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%