NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	82		Excitement	6.9 [398]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +16.4%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	3.2 [993]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -23.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	20	49%	-0.05	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.04
Donyell Marshall	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.13	0.04	15	53%	-0.06	5	-0.18	2	0%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	31	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.06
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	19.4	15.8	27.2	1.8	33.0	122.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -6.0%

CHI +10.6%

CHI +11.8%

CHI +35.4%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.6	95.3	98.9	102.5
season	15.6	16.2		92.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.0		97.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	18.3	14.8	17.6	16.3
CHI	16.6	18.6	17.1	15.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	7	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-8	11	16.4	16.3	0.16	20.8	16.4	4.41
Felton Spencer	15	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	16.7	16.2	0.55	18.3	16.4	1.83
Dickey Simpkins	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.8	16.1	0.70	17.7	16.5	1.20
Bimbo Coles	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-3	1	16.0	18.0	-2.00	16.2	20.3	-4.12
Donyell Marshall	71	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	16.1	17.3	-1.20	17.2	14.6	2.58
Carl Thomas	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	4	-13	17.9	15.4	2.49	17.9	16.3	1.66
Erick Dampier	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.2	16.7	-0.55	16.4	18.3	-1.83
Brian Shaw	62	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-3	1	15.8	17.5	-1.64	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Joe Smith	75	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	5	-15	16.3	16.1	0.22	16.2	21.0	-4.84

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-2	9	16.0	20.1	-4.02	16.4	15.8	0.57
Scott Burrell	11	11	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-3	11	18.6	16.6	2.08	19.3	15.8	3.43
Steve Kerr	42	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	17.3	16.4	0.85	17.2	15.4	1.84
Dennis Rodman	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	15.9	20.1	-4.13	15.9	17.9	-2.04
Jason Caffey	21	20	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	-2	9	20.7	15.6	5.05	18.3	15.7	2.63
Luc Longley	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	15.7	19.7	-4.03	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Ron Harper	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-4	13	16.7	16.9	-0.19	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Jud Buechler	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	16.3	16.9	-0.52	12.3	16.6	-4.24
Randy Brown	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	10	-15	12.5	17.0	-4.52	12.0	16.5	-4.49
Joe Kleine	19	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	8	-11	19.8	16.0	3.86	15.8	16.4	-0.56
Toni Kukoc	31	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	11	-17	18.6	15.9	2.72	15.6	16.6	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
DAL 108, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%