NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	7.1 [356]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): +22.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	2.1 [204]		LVP	Shane Battier (HOU): -14.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.21,0.17	0.19	-0.02	-0.00	28	62%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.06
Yao Ming	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	12	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Charles Hayes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	12	38%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	4	0%	-0.16	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.15	-0.04	4	56%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	11	67%	0.26	2	-0.06	17	82%	0.03
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	14	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.08	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	11	58%	0.14	3	-0.21	4	75%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.1	14.8	26.6	2.8	39.5	139.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +14.7%

MEM +52.1%

MEM +14.5%

HOU -32.9%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.4	101.0	108.2	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.6	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		109.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	15.8	15.2	15.8	15.1
MEM	15.0	14.9	13.0	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	37	38	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-13	20	15.5	14.9	0.69	14.9	14.1	0.73
Rafer Alston	45	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-11	16	14.2	15.8	-1.60	12.6	15.9	-3.27
Dikembe Mutombo	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-6	6	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.2	13.9	2.35
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-8	10	14.8	15.8	-0.97	13.6	16.4	-2.79
Luther Head	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-7	8	16.5	14.6	1.89	15.4	14.1	1.31
Tracy McGrady	77	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	14.6	17.1	-2.58	13.8	16.8	-3.05
Yao Ming	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	2	-10	15.1	15.1	0.05	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Bonzi Wells	38	39	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	9	-24	15.0	15.2	-0.18	15.2	13.9	1.31
Luis Scola	47	44	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	4	-14	15.1	15.1	0.03	15.3	13.7	1.56
Mike James	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	5	-16	15.8	14.2	1.60	15.9	12.6	3.27

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	64	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-11	28	14.0	15.3	-1.33	15.8	13.7	2.18
Kyle Lowry	63	63	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.29	14	-8	22	15.1	13.2	1.83	15.7	14.0	1.77
Stromile Swift	25	26	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-4	14	15.7	14.0	1.75	16.8	14.5	2.26
Juan Carlos Navarro	20	19	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-6	18	17.1	13.7	3.44	17.5	14.5	2.93
Darko Milicic	72	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	14.4	14.6	-0.18	15.1	15.1	0.05
Pau Gasol	75	76	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	2	2	14.1	15.4	-1.28	14.7	16.7	-2.02
Mike Miller	74	75	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.2	-0.98	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Tarence Kinsey	21	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	9	-12	13.5	14.7	-1.15	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Hakim Warrick	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	16.0	14.3	1.70	13.8	15.2	-1.36
Damon Stoudamire	34	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	14	-22	13.2	15.1	-1.83	14.0	15.7	-1.77
Casey Jacobsen	30	30	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	20	-34	14.2	14.5	-0.37	13.6	15.8	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	92.8%
PHX 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,1	92.5%
UTA 98, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,1	91.9%