NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	8.4 [196]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +18.7%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	2.5 [580]		LVP	Luis Scola (PHX): -30.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	63%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	10	64%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.12	0.00	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	-0.00	13	48%	-0.06	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.3	-0.08	-0.23	-0.02	13	31%	-0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	12	59%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	93%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	4	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	51%	0.05	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.15	0.00	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.17	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.1	14.0	25.6	1.8	33.0	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.3%

PHX -9.7%

PHX -1.1%

TOR +6.4%

PHX -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.4	103.2	108.6	104.1
season	15.2	16.1		99.7	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	15.9	15.7	14.8	15.0
TOR	15.7	14.8	17.0	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	36	36	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-15	26	14.6	15.3	-0.65	16.8	15.2	1.60
Michael Beasley	57	57	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	14.6	15.6	-0.92	16.3	15.0	1.25
Shannon Brown	59	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-8	12	14.3	16.2	-1.94	15.8	15.7	0.12
Jermaine O'Neal	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.9	15.7	0.18
PJ Tucker	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	3	-10	15.9	14.7	1.24	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Goran Dragic	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	15.1	14.8	0.30	15.9	15.6	0.31
Sebastian Telfair	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	3	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.30	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Marcin Gortat	61	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-2	0	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Jared Dudley	47	47	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	5	-14	15.9	14.1	1.72	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Luis Scola	58	57	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	11	-26	15.3	14.6	0.65	15.2	16.8	-1.60

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	60	61	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-8	20	15.4	16.5	-1.02	15.8	13.5	2.26
Amir Johnson	60	60	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.3	14.4	0.94
Jose Calderon	47	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-7	18	15.8	15.8	0.03	15.7	14.4	1.26
Ed Davis	41	40	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-8	20	15.2	16.3	-1.12	15.3	14.8	0.50
DeMar DeRozan	67	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	16.2	14.7	1.58	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Terrence Ross	29	27	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	2	0	14.6	16.3	-1.71	15.9	14.6	1.28
Andrea Bargnani	52	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	12	-20	16.3	15.2	1.12	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Kyle Lowry	46	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	11	-18	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.4	15.7	-1.26
Linas Kleiza	30	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	16.7	15.4	1.29	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Jonas Valanciunas	33	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	16.6	15.3	1.26	14.4	15.3	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.84,1	92.5%
DET 85, NOP 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.72,1	91.6%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	91.1%