NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	7.2 [391]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +34.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	2.9 [336]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -17.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.12	0.18	-0.04	0.02	14	76%	0.16	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.08
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	100%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.24	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.24	-0.03	17	55%	0.34	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	7	75%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	25	53%	0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	28.7	16.5	27.6	2.0	31.8	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -19.3%

POR +13.0%

POR +15.7%

POR +33.7%

POR +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	18.1	15.5	118.8	125.3	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		108.5	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	14.5	18.3	18.2	16.2
POR	18.8	20.8	13.6	19.7	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrigue Beaubois	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-7	11	15.7	16.7	-0.95	16.7	19.5	-2.82
Brian Cardinal	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	12.4	16.7	-4.31	17.0	18.2	-1.24
Tyson Chandler	58	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-11	19	15.1	18.7	-3.61	18.0	18.4	-0.40
Jason Kidd	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-7	11	15.3	19.0	-3.78	18.0	18.3	-0.32
Jose Juan Barea	21	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	4	-11	19.0	15.3	3.78	18.3	18.0	0.32
Dirk Nowitzki	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	17.3	13.5	3.80	18.3	17.7	0.61
Shawn Marion	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-2	1	15.6	18.4	-2.76	17.8	19.3	-1.50
DeShawn Stevenson	25	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	7	-17	18.1	15.4	2.72	18.7	17.8	0.90
Ian Mahinmi	27	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	8	-19	18.7	15.1	3.61	18.4	18.0	0.40
Jason Terry	51	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.48	-3	0	-3	15.8	16.8	-0.94	19.4	16.4	3.00

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	47	50	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-10	23	18.7	17.4	1.27	17.3	14.7	2.62
Brandon Roy	44	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-3	9	19.1	17.0	2.14	17.1	15.1	2.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	18.2	17.6	0.56	16.5	14.9	1.52
Wesley Matthews	58	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-5	13	17.1	20.5	-3.39	16.4	15.8	0.51
Rudy Fernandez	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	1	1	18.6	17.7	0.97	17.1	15.5	1.61
Gerald Wallace	64	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.44	-12	15	-27	18.0	18.6	-0.68	15.6	18.1	-2.58
Andre Miller	49	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	0	3	17.4	19.1	-1.61	15.7	16.8	-1.03
Nicolas Batum	39	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	6	-9	17.0	19.1	-2.14	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Patty Mills	8	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	9	-15	24.2	17.5	6.80	12.3	16.7	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.84,1	92.8%
UTA 98, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,1	92.6%
SEA 93, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1	92.4%