NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	123		Excitement	5.8 [625]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +29.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Comeback	1.4 [450]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -18.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13	0.24	-0.00	0.11	18	76%	0.16	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Derrick White	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.12	0.03	0.05	12	79%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	21	58%	0.12	4	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	18	34%	-0.08	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29	0.29	0.24	0.06	0.01	22	69%	0.29	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	14	74%	0.25	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	9	80%	0.16	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	27.8	14.8	24.4	2.5	37.0	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +65.0%

BOS -6.8%

BOS -14.3%

OKC +5.1%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.5	124.2	125.7	113.9
season	14.9	13.9		120.7	117.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	14.5	16.3	11.2	14.4
OKC	15.1	13.8	13.1	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	32	30	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.09	-1	-3	2	14.5	14.4	0.14	14.6	14.3	0.33
Payton Pritchard	52	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-13	22	13.3	15.6	-2.29	14.8	13.8	0.94
Sam Hauser	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	3	-10	17.7	13.6	4.16	12.9	14.7	-1.83
Derrick White	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-9	14	13.2	16.6	-3.41	14.6	14.0	0.56
Al Horford	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	10	-24	16.4	13.2	3.14	14.7	14.2	0.47
Kristaps Porzingis	74	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-7	10	14.0	15.7	-1.72	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Jrue Holiday	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	11	-26	15.7	12.4	3.27	14.6	14.0	0.64
Jaylen Brown	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-4	4	13.7	17.3	-3.57	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Jayson Tatum	76	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-4	4	14.5	14.3	0.17	14.2	15.0	-0.80

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	80	76	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-4	12	14.0	15.8	-1.76	14.8	13.3	1.53
Chet Holmgren	69	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	15.0	-0.88	14.9	13.6	1.24
Josh Giddey	58	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-5	14	14.0	14.8	-0.82	14.4	14.5	-0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	14.0	15.5	-1.43	14.6	13.8	0.85
Jalen Williams	67	67	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	2	0	14.6	14.0	0.55	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Aaron Wiggins	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	0	4	14.4	14.4	-0.01	16.9	13.7	3.22
Vasilije Micic	21	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	0	4	15.9	14.0	1.94	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Jaylin Williams	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	0	4	15.2	14.2	1.04	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Isaiah Joe	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.5	14.4	0.09
Kenrich Williams	27	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	5	-6	15.0	14.1	0.86	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Cason Wallace	37	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.15	-14	18	-32	15.3	13.8	1.47	12.9	15.3	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAS 92, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%