inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 89 Excitement5.3 [767] MVPJerian Grant (CHI): +8.7%
New York Knicks 104 Comeback1.3 [869] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (CHI): -15.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerian Grant0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.00-0.001061%0.0900.00367%-0.00
Cristiano Felicio0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.04965%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Paul Zipser0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01650%0.0200.002100%0.01
Robin Lopez-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.001050%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.03-0.01922%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.012048%0.024-0.09667%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.00763%0.044-0.11580%0.00
Doug McDermott-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.00517%-0.081-0.022100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01818%-0.082-0.071100%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.00775%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.03560%0.0700.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.021957%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.02445%0.042-0.04367%-0.00
Ron Baker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.000.11-0.030.081561%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011552%0.042-0.053100%0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00837%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.011060%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.00-0.02922%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.529.216.823.13.530.6132.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +35.0%
CHI -3.3%
NYK +7.6%
NYK +8.2%
NYK +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHINYKNBACHINYKNBA
this game15.116.514.898.9113.0107.7
season15.115.0105.9106.6
opponent14.714.8110.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.615.015.015.815.1
NYK14.816.316.319.216.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis32310.10-0.600.70-0.055-202516.514.32.1918.715.43.27
Jerian Grant44470.06-0.560.61-0.188-233114.515.6-1.0617.415.61.85
Cristiano Felicio4345-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-11715.714.51.2517.215.91.37
Doug McDermott3335-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-2-1114.515.4-0.9515.017.5-2.54
Michael Carter-Williams2930-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-8117.214.13.0716.516.5-0.02
Rajon Rondo4748-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-9313.217.1-3.9315.417.8-2.40
Robin Lopez4747-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-4-714.515.7-1.2515.917.2-1.37
Paul Zipser6564-0.42-0.08-0.340.05-161-1715.115.1-0.0416.716.10.63
Dwyane Wade6063-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-4-715.813.62.2816.716.10.64
Taj Gibson5050-0.590.09-0.69-0.01-205-2514.715.5-0.8316.117.1-1.06

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony63630.56-0.060.61-0.0922-72916.915.91.0015.115.00.13
Derrick Rose66660.390.110.29-0.051501516.317.1-0.7414.317.2-2.95
Mindaugas Kuzminskas57540.310.190.110.0496316.716.30.4215.514.50.98
Joakim Noah52510.300.200.11-0.02114716.616.50.0315.015.2-0.11
Lance Thomas56560.300.200.100.1369-316.716.30.4415.015.2-0.19
Courtney Lee60600.270.230.04-0.111321116.217.1-0.8414.316.6-2.22
Justin Holiday33300.210.29-0.070.15213-1116.716.50.2416.614.32.22
Brandon Jennings26240.110.39-0.290.11015-1517.116.30.7417.214.32.95
Kyle O'Quinn33320.080.42-0.340.14-217-1917.116.20.8514.215.6-1.40
Willy Hernangomez13130.030.47-0.430.00114-1314.416.9-2.5116.814.82.05
Ron Baker11-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-217-190.016.7-16.734.015.2-11.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 80, ATL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ATL 76, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
PHI 85, OKC 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%