NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	3.9 [1010]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +11.4%
Houston Rockets	136		Comeback	1.1 [1171]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -25.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	10	79%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.06	11	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	112%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.00	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.23	-0.05	-0.02	16	18%	-0.21	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.04	0.08	13	74%	0.15	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.04	0.10	12	73%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.08	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	15	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	90%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	70%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	24.8	13.8	34.2	1.6	25.4	125.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.3%

HOU +3.3%

DET -2.6%

HOU +13.8%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	14.2	14.5	107.6	129.5	113.9
season	14.2	14.2		108.4	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.3		112.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	13.7	13.2	11.4	13.3
HOU	13.9	15.7	12.0	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-30	37	10.7	13.6	-2.93	18.1	13.6	4.58
Marvin Bagley III	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	11.6	13.6	-1.99	16.0	13.7	2.26
Killian Hayes	40	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-21	19	12.1	14.0	-1.87	15.0	13.6	1.38
Isaiah Livers	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-12	1	12.9	13.4	-0.50	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Alec Burks	49	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.13	-10	-13	3	12.9	13.6	-0.67	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Ausar Thompson	55	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-13	3	12.5	14.1	-1.57	14.6	13.7	0.98
Jalen Duren	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-18	13	13.6	12.8	0.72	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Jaden Ivey	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.24	-19	-4	-15	14.0	12.4	1.63	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Kevin Knox II	47	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-18	13	13.6	13.0	0.57	16.1	12.6	3.54
James Wiseman	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.33	-24	1	-25	14.1	12.8	1.36	13.2	14.7	-1.40
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-2	-19	14.1	12.0	2.09	13.2	15.4	-2.17
Cade Cunningham	67	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	-2	-19	13.8	12.2	1.60	13.4	15.5	-2.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	3	17	13.3	15.2	-1.85	13.7	12.6	1.11
Jae'Sean Tate	56	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	8	7	13.6	14.9	-1.32	14.0	12.4	1.58
Jalen Green	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.20	20	3	17	14.3	14.0	0.23	13.7	12.7	1.03
Alperen Sengun	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.20	20	3	17	14.3	14.0	0.23	13.7	12.7	1.03
Fred VanVleet	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.25	20	3	17	13.7	14.7	-1.02	14.1	12.3	1.83
Tari Eason	56	55	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.32	16	7	9	12.8	15.7	-2.85	13.0	13.5	-0.50
Amen Thompson	64	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	13	-3	14.4	13.8	0.68	12.7	14.0	-1.32
Reggie Bullock Jr.	31	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	26	-29	16.0	13.4	2.59	12.3	13.6	-1.36
Jeff Green	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	17	-11	12.4	14.6	-2.20	14.5	13.0	1.50
Aaron Holiday	24	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	15	-7	12.9	14.6	-1.68	12.2	13.6	-1.47
Boban Marjanovic	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	33	-43	18.5	13.6	4.98	10.1	13.7	-3.58
Jock Landale	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	18.1	13.6	4.58	11.3	13.6	-2.27
Cam Whitmore	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	17.4	13.6	3.78	11.7	13.5	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 79, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 83, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%