NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	6.6 [503]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +37.9%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.2 [920]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -20.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.00	7	106%	0.23	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	25	51%	0.18	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Cole Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	76%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	23	58%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	10	18%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.18	-0.00	21	66%	0.38	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.14	0.02	13	83%	0.33	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	17	49%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udoka Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	33.2	16.6	24.5	0.7	23.4	123.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.7%

PHX +2.5%

ORL -13.9%

PHX +30.3%

PHX +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.5	110.3	115.5	113.9
season	15.1	14.6		111.8	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	14.8	12.9	16.4	15.0
PHX	12.8	14.0	15.4	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Houstan	14	15	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-13	21	12.6	15.3	-2.71	17.7	14.2	3.47
Wendell Carter Jr.	50	48	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.21	14	-19	33	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.2	14.2	0.98
Cole Anthony	38	36	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-13	21	14.9	15.0	-0.15	14.8	14.7	0.12
Chuma Okeke	1	0	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	0.0	15.1	-15.11	0.0	14.7	-14.73
Moritz Wagner	21	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	14.6	15.1	-0.43	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Gary Harris	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-12	19	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.7	12.9	2.80
Anthony Black	45	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	14	-33	15.1	14.8	0.33	13.4	15.9	-2.48
Paolo Banchero	73	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.4	0.78	14.8	14.5	0.30
Jalen Suggs	56	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	5	-15	15.2	14.6	0.56	14.9	14.5	0.42
Goga Bitadze	43	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	10	-25	15.6	14.4	1.16	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Franz Wagner	80	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	15.1	14.2	0.95	14.2	17.1	-2.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	67	66	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-13	31	14.5	15.3	-0.87	15.4	14.0	1.41
Kevin Durant	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-4	13	14.9	14.1	0.84	15.5	13.1	2.38
Devin Booker	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-8	21	14.6	15.3	-0.76	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Grayson Allen	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-9	23	14.3	16.1	-1.85	15.1	14.5	0.59
Eric Gordon	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	15.6	13.4	2.11	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Bradley Beal	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	6	-7	14.9	14.4	0.48	15.6	13.4	2.25
Josh Okogie	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	13	-21	13.9	14.9	-0.94	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Chimezie Metu	34	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	9	-13	14.5	14.9	-0.40	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Udoka Azubuike	15	17	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	18	-31	15.7	14.6	1.11	11.0	15.8	-4.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%
MIL 97, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.1%
SAC 118, BKN 127	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.7%