NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	6.9 [410]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +34.4%
Brooklyn Nets	127		Comeback	1.1 [897]		LVP	Andre Roberson (BKN): -6.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.12	0.06	18	63%	0.22	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	20	55%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	75%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.02	12	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.16	-0.03	10	82%	0.34	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.29	0.09	0.07	13	94%	0.30	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	-0.06	22	55%	0.18	4	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	22	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.0	23.8	14.4	29.3	1.8	29.3	127.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +10.9%

BKN +19.9%

SAC -6.3%

BKN +24.1%

BKN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BKN	NBA	SAC	BKN	NBA
this game	13.9	14.2	14.4	115.7	123.3	111.3
season	14.0	14.1		112.2	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.9	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	13.5	13.5	15.2	13.9
BKN	11.7	15.3	13.7	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	39	39	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-19	29	13.9	13.9	0.03	13.9	14.4	-0.48
DaQuan Jeffries	33	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-13	17	13.6	14.1	-0.48	12.2	15.1	-2.87
Tyrese Haliburton	82	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-11	13	14.1	13.1	1.00	14.6	12.6	1.98
Marvin Bagley III	64	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	4	-17	13.6	14.5	-0.91	13.2	15.9	-2.73
Richaun Holmes	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	14.0	13.8	0.23	14.8	13.5	1.29
Buddy Hield	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.5	15.3	-1.81	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Harrison Barnes	77	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	3	-15	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.1	11.4	3.76
De'Aaron Fox	78	82	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.15	-22	13	-35	14.5	11.8	2.71	14.4	13.2	1.20

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	55	52	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-11	31	14.0	14.5	-0.49	14.6	13.2	1.38
James Harden	86	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-2	13	14.7	11.7	2.98	14.2	12.4	1.74
Kyrie Irving	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.05	17	-8	25	13.7	15.7	-1.97	13.9	14.0	-0.18
DeAndre Jordan	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.9	13.9	0.04
Joe Harris	70	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	14.0	14.5	-0.52	13.4	14.8	-1.37
Tyler Johnson	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	16	-23	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.2	13.6	0.62
Nicolas Claxton	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	12	-15	14.3	14.1	0.22	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Landry Shamet	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	13	-17	13.7	14.4	-0.72	13.5	14.1	-0.59
Andre Roberson	38	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	17	-25	13.9	14.4	-0.43	13.9	13.9	0.08
Iman Shumpert	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	12	-15	15.5	14.0	1.51	11.4	14.2	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
LAC 104, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,1	93.2%
WAS 94, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.4%