NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	5.9 [679]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +13.5%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.1 [962]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -15.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	65%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	18	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	32	43%	-0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	15	33%	-0.02	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.01	16	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.08
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	17	44%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	25.2	17.7	20.3	2.5	39.4	134.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.8%

DAL +14.4%

DAL +16.3%

NJN -2.1%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.5	93.0	99.0	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		99.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	13.7	15.6	14.2	14.6
DAL	13.6	17.0	18.0	10.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	37	38	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.32	17	-22	39	14.7	14.6	0.07	12.0	15.7	-3.71
Jerome Moiso	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-5	5	0.0	14.8	-14.78	34.0	14.1	19.89
Jabari Smith	39	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.3	0.94	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Jason Collins	84	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	7	-19	15.5	10.2	5.21	16.0	5.7	10.21
Nenad Krstic	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.28	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Jason Kidd	95	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	2	-9	14.4	19.0	-4.60	14.5	11.0	3.45
Rodney Buford	80	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.28	-9	4	-13	14.0	17.1	-3.09	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Vince Carter	95	94	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	14.8	10.8	4.03	14.1	17.6	-3.46

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	60	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.05	21	-16	37	14.5	14.1	0.43	14.9	14.2	0.72
Michael Finley	92	93	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-8	21	14.2	16.1	-1.97	14.3	19.4	-5.16
Dirk Nowitzki	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.08	18	-13	31	15.3	10.4	4.84	16.3	8.0	8.23
Jerry Stackhouse	91	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-1	7	14.2	15.7	-1.56	14.4	17.1	-2.73
Jason Terry	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	11	-17	14.7	13.7	1.03	14.9	14.2	0.68
Devin Harris	21	22	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-4	13	13.5	14.5	-1.06	15.0	14.5	0.47
Darrell Armstrong	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	13.9	14.4	-0.45	13.3	14.9	-1.65
Calvin Booth	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.23	-10	15	-25	9.5	15.2	-5.74	10.7	15.4	-4.62
Shawn Bradley	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	12	-19	17.7	13.9	3.84	17.7	14.2	3.48
Alan Henderson	47	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.35	-19	24	-43	13.8	14.8	-0.96	13.3	15.8	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.7%
ORL 96, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	92.3%
MIN 100, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1	92.3%