NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	6.9 [456]		MVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): +27.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	1.3 [182]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -30.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.02	15	68%	0.26	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.07
Derek Fisher	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.02	12	79%	0.21	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	12	22%	-0.10	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.3	-0.22	-0.08	0.01	24	35%	-0.13	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.00	13	64%	0.34	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	16	70%	0.25	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.07
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	18	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	18	35%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.5	25.2	15.8	31.2	2.3	40.5	146.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.9%

LAL -1.5%

LAL -7.6%

CLE +17.2%

CLE +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.5	102.1	106.1	105.7
season	15.9	15.1		108.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	14.7	15.2	13.3	14.7
CLE	12.7	16.0	16.1	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	38	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.15	9	-14	23	14.3	14.9	-0.69	16.8	13.5	3.24
Luke Walton	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	14.2	14.7	-0.56	15.3	14.8	0.54
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-11	17	14.6	14.9	-0.34	15.4	12.6	2.84
Andrew Bynum	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	6	-17	15.7	13.9	1.87	15.9	14.0	1.83
Shannon Brown	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	14.2	15.3	-1.15	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Lamar Odom	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	14.2	16.1	-1.91	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Pau Gasol	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-6	7	14.7	14.8	-0.17	14.3	18.4	-4.17
Metta World Peace	36	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	8	-21	15.6	14.2	1.39	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Derek Fisher	68	67	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.28	-14	9	-23	14.9	14.1	0.77	14.5	15.6	-1.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	70	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	15.0	14.6	0.40	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Antawn Jamison	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	13.9	23.2	-9.29	14.7	14.3	0.42
JJ Hickson	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.48	2	3	-1	15.3	12.8	2.46	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Ramon Sessions	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	13.8	18.4	-4.58	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Jamario Moon	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	8	-11	15.4	14.4	1.00	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Christian Eyenga	53	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	14.4	15.4	-1.00	15.2	14.0	1.26
Mo Williams	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	3	-1	16.3	14.8	1.57	18.2	14.5	3.72
Daniel Gibson	44	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	12	-19	16.2	13.7	2.53	14.5	14.8	-0.36
Ryan Hollins	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.03	-3	8	-11	16.7	14.2	2.50	14.7	14.7	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MEM 91, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.5%
HOU 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	93.3%