NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	6.6 [496]		MVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): +19.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.3 [897]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -21.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	10	80%	0.24	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	83%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.08	0	0.00	13	92%	0.06
Charles Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2	-0.09	-0.07	0.03	15	34%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	13	34%	-0.09	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.09	0.03	8	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	20	55%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.01	12	61%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.6	14.8	28.0	2.0	37.2	134.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.8%

HOU -2.7%

MIL +19.1%

HOU -3.7%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.5	93.8	99.0	105.7
season	15.2	16.2		109.5	100.1
opponent	15.4	14.9		100.9	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	15.5	16.2	12.0	14.3
MIL	14.4	15.8	14.5	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	35	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-14	22	14.5	14.2	0.28	16.0	14.8	1.16
Jermaine Taylor	32	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-11	16	15.1	13.9	1.12	18.5	13.8	4.72
Brad Miller	39	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-15	24	13.4	14.9	-1.46	16.4	14.4	2.05
Courtney Lee	57	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-8	10	13.1	16.0	-2.88	16.0	14.2	1.77
Jordan Hill	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	14.6	14.2	0.44	16.5	14.7	1.84
Charles Hayes	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	3	-12	15.0	13.8	1.22	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Shane Battier	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	5	-16	15.5	13.2	2.35	13.6	16.7	-3.05
Luis Scola	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	1	-8	14.5	13.6	0.87	15.3	15.0	0.29
Kevin Martin	60	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	2	-10	13.9	15.0	-1.07	14.2	17.1	-2.89
Kyle Lowry	68	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.30	-14	8	-22	14.1	14.8	-0.69	14.2	17.8	-3.59

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	86	85	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-4	14	15.4	13.7	1.78	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Andrew Bogut	83	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	15.1	16.1	-1.07	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Ersan Ilyasova	49	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	16.9	13.6	3.31	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Brandon Jennings	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	15.2	15.3	-0.14	14.4	14.2	0.17
Chris Douglas-Roberts	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	6	-6	15.7	14.7	1.00	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Larry Sanders	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	2	2	14.9	15.5	-0.57	16.0	12.7	3.31
Keyon Dooling	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	15.3	15.2	0.14	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Luc Mbah a Moute	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	11	-16	13.5	16.5	-3.01	14.4	14.3	0.10
Corey Maggette	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	14.4	15.6	-1.14	14.2	14.4	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.78,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
TOR 89, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.5%
LAL 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.3%