NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	6.1 [580]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.3 [996]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -34.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Archibald	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	9	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	12	75%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.34	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.26,-0.32,-0.34,-0.34	-0.26	-0.11	-0.03	23	29%	-0.15	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	14	75%	0.21	5	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	59%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.6	32.0	16.8	24.0	2.6	43.3	144.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +80.6%

TOR -5.8%

TOR -2.0%

TOR -21.4%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.7	94.7	102.1	100.5
season	16.8	15.2		94.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.3	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	15.0	16.9	15.6	15.9
CHI	15.7	15.6	14.4	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	21	20	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-11	15	13.4	16.7	-3.30	15.3	14.5	0.84
Robert Archibald	10	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	15.9	16.0	-0.05	16.1	14.5	1.58
Lamond Murray	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	13.9	16.2	-2.28	14.8	14.7	0.12
Lonny Baxter	7	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	18.6	15.7	2.84	18.8	14.4	4.42
Milt Palacio	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.3	15.5	1.73	15.0	14.6	0.35
Jalen Rose	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.7	17.4	-1.73	14.4	16.7	-2.32
Chris Bosh	85	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	15.9	16.2	-0.30	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Donyell Marshall	86	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	15.8	17.9	-2.11	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Vince Carter	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	1	-9	16.3	13.7	2.61	14.8	13.8	0.98
Alvin Williams	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	1	-9	16.5	14.4	2.05	14.4	15.5	-1.07

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	66	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	0	7	13.8	16.7	-2.88	16.2	15.3	0.83
Kirk Hinrich	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	14.8	13.3	1.45	16.2	12.7	3.49
Jamal Crawford	80	81	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	14.2	17.4	-3.13	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Jerome Williams	37	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	0	7	16.5	13.5	2.96	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Antonio Davis	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	14.4	15.7	-1.32	16.2	15.0	1.16
Eddy Curry	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.25	15.7	16.6	-0.99
Rick Brunson	15	14	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	16.2	14.4	1.79	16.7	15.8	0.90
Corie Blount	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	6	-5	15.9	14.2	1.69	15.8	16.0	-0.27
Marcus Fizer	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	15.2	14.6	0.67	15.4	16.1	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DEN 88, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
HOU 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	93.5%