NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	6.5 [500]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +19.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	1.5 [810]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -18.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	9	72%	0.09	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	42%	-0.08	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	13	46%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	18	44%	-0.09	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	18	67%	0.19	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	16	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	24	47%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	12	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	32.0	14.8	22.2	2.4	31.2	127.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.3%

MIL -0.6%

CLE +1.3%

CLE +24.0%

MIL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.0	15.7	96.0	105.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		103.6	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	13.4	13.6	13.3	13.5
CLE	12.8	13.3	15.8	18.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-14	19	12.7	13.9	-1.24	16.3	14.4	1.94
Brevin Knight	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-10	11	12.8	13.9	-1.06	16.4	14.3	2.16
Joe Smith	61	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	14.1	12.7	1.42	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Brian Skinner	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	13.8	13.1	0.69	15.2	14.6	0.57
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	13.1	13.8	-0.69	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Damon Jones	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	1	-11	13.9	12.8	1.06	14.3	16.4	-2.16
Desmond Mason	42	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-5	1	13.5	13.6	-0.10	15.7	14.5	1.20
Michael Redd	91	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	13.4	15.2	-1.85	14.4	20.1	-5.74
Keith Van Horn	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	3	-15	13.7	13.0	0.64	15.6	12.9	2.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	81	82	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-8	25	14.7	16.2	-1.52	13.5	13.5	0.08
Jeff McInnis	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	14.4	17.5	-3.07	13.5	13.9	-0.43
LeBron James	88	89	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	15.2	13.6	1.57	13.8	11.7	2.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	85	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	14.7	16.2	-1.51	13.5	13.9	-0.49
Eric Williams	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-2	13	14.1	16.9	-2.73	13.9	12.8	1.05
Lee Nailon	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	14	-19	16.9	14.1	2.73	12.7	13.9	-1.15
Ira Newble	14	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	9	-9	12.8	15.3	-2.55	11.7	13.8	-2.03
Kevin Ollie	19	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	12	-15	17.6	14.4	3.27	13.9	13.5	0.43
Tony Battie	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	15	-21	16.5	14.2	2.34	13.8	13.4	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	93.1%
SAC 80, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.97,1,0.91,1	93.1%
DEN 93, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.0%