NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	6.0 [608]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): +10.9%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.4 [906]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (DEN): -12.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	10	78%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.04	13	67%	0.06	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	22	51%	0.03	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Isaiah Rider	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	19	52%	0.04	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	18	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.8	16.0	22.4	2.4	31.4	125.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.5%

DEN -8.2%

HOU +21.6%

HOU +7.7%

HOU +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	HOU	NBA	DEN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	17.5	15.6	105.7	112.5	102.3
season	16.1	16.8		99.7	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		106.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	15.6	14.0	16.0	15.2
HOU	15.5	18.0	19.6	17.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	14.3	15.7	-1.39	17.7	17.5	0.23
Voshon Lenard	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	15.8	15.1	0.75	17.5	17.6	-0.05
Scott Williams	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.2	14.1	3.16	19.3	16.5	2.83
George McCloud	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-8	10	14.3	16.4	-2.09	17.4	17.8	-0.40
Ryan Bowen	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-4	2	18.2	14.4	3.75	17.5	17.6	-0.06
James Posey	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-7	8	14.0	17.1	-3.15	17.2	18.2	-0.97
Avery Johnson	39	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-8	10	15.7	14.8	0.96	18.0	17.2	0.82
Isaiah Rider	46	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	5	-16	17.0	13.2	3.76	17.6	17.4	0.20
Nick Van Exel	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	14.9	17.6	-2.69	17.5	18.4	-0.96
Raef LaFrentz	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	0	-6	14.2	21.7	-7.48	16.9	21.9	-4.99

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	17.6	16.3	1.25	15.3	12.0	3.29
Steve Francis	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	1	4	17.3	21.3	-4.07	14.9	18.9	-3.99
Oscar Torres	29	29	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	17.9	17.4	0.47	16.5	14.5	1.99
Kevin Willis	35	36	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-3	12	18.5	16.9	1.66	17.4	13.7	3.74
Moochie Norris	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	17.7	17.4	0.34	15.8	14.6	1.15
Walt Williams	32	33	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	-1	8	17.5	17.6	-0.02	15.4	15.1	0.34
Glen Rice	54	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	17.7	17.4	0.31	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Kelvin Cato	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	17.4	17.6	-0.20	14.2	15.6	-1.44
Kenny Thomas	53	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	12	-18	16.9	18.5	-1.66	13.8	17.3	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.0%
VAN 75, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.9%
CLE 91, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.2%