NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	6.5 [513]		MVP	Danny Granger (MIA): +18.7%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	1.1 [396]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): -19.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.02	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.03	0.05	16	60%	0.13	4	-0.08	18	56%	-0.09
Kyrie Irving	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	19	58%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	13	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Dion Waiters	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	5	90%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.01	16	74%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.03	28	51%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	12	21%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.5	31.4	20.7	30.1	3.4	35.3	151.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.5%

CLE -2.7%

MIA +7.3%

MIA +5.7%

MIA +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.1	100.0	109.8	104.2
season	15.9	16.0		108.7	102.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	16.7	16.2	14.8	15.0
MIA	14.3	16.8	18.0	17.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	7	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	17.0	14.8	2.20	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Matthew Dellavedova	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.02	-3	-7	4	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.9	16.8	-0.93
Mike Miller	49	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	13.9	16.3	-2.40	16.8	16.1	0.77
Shawn Marion	34	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	2	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.79	16.6	16.5	0.09
Dion Waiters	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-9	8	15.5	14.2	1.28	16.0	17.2	-1.26
Kevin Love	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-8	6	14.7	16.2	-1.50	16.7	15.6	1.16
Tristan Thompson	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	16.2	13.6	2.59	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Kyrie Irving	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.53	16.8	14.6	2.12
LeBron James	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	-1	-8	14.7	16.3	-1.56	16.6	15.7	0.92

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.19	15	-5	20	17.3	15.3	2.06	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Danny Granger	40	41	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-5	20	16.2	16.7	-0.44	15.6	14.4	1.21
Luol Deng	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	1	8	16.6	15.7	0.92	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Norris Cole	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	16.1	17.5	-1.39	15.6	13.4	2.22
Dwyane Wade	71	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	17.0	14.9	2.13	14.3	16.9	-2.60
Mario Chalmers	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	16.5	16.4	0.12	15.1	14.8	0.24
Hassan Whiteside	15	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	5	0	15.7	16.7	-1.00	17.0	14.6	2.43
Shawne Williams	53	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	10	-10	16.5	16.5	0.07	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Udonis Haslem	26	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	22	-34	14.7	17.2	-2.47	14.2	15.3	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	93.3%
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.0%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.9%