NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	127		Excitement	6.9 [459]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +33.0%
Detroit Pistons	129		Comeback	1.6 [389]		LVP	Killian Hayes (DET): -11.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.10	0.02	16	71%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.08	0.07	18	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.06	0.06	24	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Chris Boucher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Otto Porter Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.03	-0.04	0.07	20	49%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jalen McDaniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.22	0.04	20	60%	0.33	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	6	94%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.05	0.03	11	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	14	58%	0.12	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	5	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.03
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	27.3	14.5	28.4	2.4	44.5	145.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.6%

DET +15.8%

DET +8.1%

TOR -6.2%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.5	123.3	125.2	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		111.3	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		117.6	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.1	12.4	12.0	13.7
DET	15.0	13.9	14.7	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	71	69	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-10	18	14.2	12.7	1.54	15.2	12.1	3.13
Chris Boucher	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	14.1	13.6	0.55	15.6	13.6	2.05
Otto Porter Jr.	18	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.08	-3	1	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.84	11.6	14.8	-3.18
Dennis Schroder	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	13.2	15.6	-2.40	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Gary Trent Jr.	84	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	13.6	14.6	-1.02	14.4	13.5	0.91
Thaddeus Young	22	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	7	-16	15.0	13.4	1.53	14.9	14.0	0.86
Scottie Barnes	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-3	4	13.5	14.5	-1.04	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Jalen McDaniels	37	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	5	-12	15.2	12.9	2.33	14.6	14.0	0.59
Pascal Siakam	89	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	13.3	16.6	-3.27	13.4	19.9	-6.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	81	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	13.8	15.8	-2.04	13.4	15.2	-1.73
Jaden Ivey	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	-1	4	14.4	13.9	0.52	13.8	13.6	0.24
Kevin Knox II	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	1	0	13.3	16.0	-2.62	13.7	13.9	-0.25
Isaiah Livers	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	1	0	13.8	14.5	-0.72	11.9	14.9	-3.06
Bojan Bogdanovic	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	6	-10	14.2	14.2	-0.03	13.9	13.2	0.70
Jalen Duren	75	76	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	8	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.2	15.2	-2.00
James Wiseman	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	-2	6	15.3	13.8	1.52	15.2	13.2	2.00
Alec Burks	38	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	15.2	13.6	1.54	14.5	13.3	1.16
Killian Hayes	22	19	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	1	0	15.8	13.8	2.04	15.2	13.4	1.73
Ausar Thompson	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-1	4	14.9	14.0	0.92	15.3	13.3	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, ATL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,1	93.4%
NOP 97, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%