NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	123		Excitement	8.8 [173]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +35.5%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	2.9 [261]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -14.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.35,0.35	0.20	0.18	0.02	21	77%	0.45	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.27	0.14	0.15	0.01	9	72%	0.27	0	0.00	7	86%	0.08
Isaiah Jackson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	3	100%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Obi Toppin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	78%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	14	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	92%	0.12	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.01	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	20	61%	0.20	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	13	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.08,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	18	46%	-0.03	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	27.6	14.8	32.2	2.5	30.6	136.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +66.4%

IND +15.5%

HOU -12.9%

HOU -22.7%

IND +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	14.6	14.5	120.6	114.7	113.9
season	13.7	14.2		120.1	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		112.2	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.4	13.5	12.9	14.9	13.6
HOU	15.4	13.2	14.8	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	77	78	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-9	24	13.8	13.1	0.70	15.3	12.3	2.95
Aaron Nesmith	62	63	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-11	28	13.6	13.8	-0.21	15.5	13.1	2.41
Andrew Nembhard	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	13.7	13.5	0.26	14.7	14.4	0.29
Myles Turner	45	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	2	2	14.8	12.8	2.02	16.2	13.2	3.05
Isaiah Jackson	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	3	0	13.1	14.1	-0.92	13.6	15.3	-1.75
Jalen Smith	48	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	-5	16	12.9	14.3	-1.42	15.4	13.8	1.53
Buddy Hield	72	71	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	16	-26	13.6	13.7	-0.03	13.9	16.1	-2.17
Bennedict Mathurin	55	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	12	-18	13.5	13.8	-0.22	13.0	16.3	-3.38
Obi Toppin	34	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.21	-14	20	-34	13.7	13.6	0.04	12.8	15.4	-2.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	28	29	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-14	22	12.7	15.3	-2.63	13.0	13.9	-0.86
Jeff Green	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	12.7	15.2	-2.47	12.1	14.1	-2.02
Jae'Sean Tate	34	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-10	14	12.8	15.5	-2.69	11.5	14.6	-3.17
Aaron Holiday	56	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-15	24	13.9	15.4	-1.42	13.3	14.1	-0.77
Tari Eason	55	56	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.36	9	-15	24	13.8	15.5	-1.67	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Dillon Brooks	47	46	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.03	-15	9	-24	15.5	13.8	1.67	13.8	13.5	0.29
Jalen Green	41	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.04	-19	13	-32	15.3	14.1	1.14	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Jabari Smith Jr.	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	7	-20	15.5	12.9	2.60	14.4	12.1	2.35
Alperen Sengun	77	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.2	12.7	2.47	14.1	12.1	2.02
Fred VanVleet	81	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.3	11.9	3.44	14.2	11.5	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.25,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.16,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.24,0.1,0	91.2%
UTA 101, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.21,0.06,0,0	90.5%
NOP 111, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.4,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.02,0	90.5%