NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	7.9 [298]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (NOP): +29.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	2.9 [193]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -15.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	-0.00	11	71%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.12	0.04	24	63%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.16	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	18	54%	0.08	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.00	5	110%	0.28	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	21	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.00	11	55%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	18	45%	0.09	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	3.4	30.3	15.8	28.4	3.5	32.5	134.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +43.9%

POR -8.5%

NOP +6.2%

NOP +6.6%

NOP +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.7	114.4	105.2	107.5
season	13.6	15.2		108.0	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.1	13.0	13.9	18.1	14.9
POR	14.3	14.7	15.5	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-8	25	14.4	17.1	-2.64	15.1	13.5	1.56
Nikola Mirotic	79	81	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-9	27	14.1	18.4	-4.34	15.0	13.5	1.54
E'Twaun Moore	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-8	25	14.2	16.1	-1.93	15.8	12.9	2.92
Anthony Davis	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-1	11	14.8	15.7	-0.98	15.0	13.4	1.64
Jrue Holiday	77	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-3	15	14.6	15.9	-1.31	14.9	14.3	0.62
Cheick Diallo	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	11	-13	20.1	14.4	5.69	9.7	15.2	-5.49
Darius Miller	32	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Ian Clark	35	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.24	-12	21	-33	16.9	13.8	3.18	13.1	15.7	-2.52
Solomon Hill	31	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	20	-31	16.8	14.0	2.84	13.5	15.4	-1.91

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	37	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-12	15	14.6	14.9	-0.31	15.3	14.6	0.71
Ed Davis	43	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	14.2	15.3	-1.11	16.1	14.1	2.02
Maurice Harkless	51	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-19	29	14.5	15.1	-0.66	17.7	11.6	6.09
Wade Baldwin IV	1	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	5.0	14.9	-9.89	1.0	15.1	-14.05
Jusuf Nurkic	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-3	-3	14.9	14.7	0.11	12.1	16.4	-4.30
Zach Collins	38	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-11	13	15.7	14.2	1.57	17.4	13.2	4.20
Evan Turner	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	7	-23	15.4	14.3	1.07	11.9	17.4	-5.53
Damian Lillard	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-5	1	14.7	15.4	-0.69	15.3	12.8	2.51
CJ McCollum	82	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	7	-23	14.9	14.1	0.85	14.3	17.7	-3.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.13	-20	11	-31	14.7	15.0	-0.34	14.2	17.3	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.4,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.24,0.1,0	91.7%
NOH 96, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	91.2%
TOR 107, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.02,0	90.9%