inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 101 Excitement7.1 [417] MVPQuincy Lewis (UTA): +14.1%
Washington Wizards 92 Comeback2.7 [601] LVPRichard Hamilton (WAS): -17.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quincy Lewis0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.090.011264%0.181-0.034100%0.02
Donyell Marshall0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.070.040.040.011674%0.216-0.14667%-0.02
John Crotty0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.01250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00275%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Karl Malone-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.06-0.032157%0.102-0.111191%0.04
John Stockton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.050.02-0.02844%0.022-0.04250%-0.02
Bryon Russell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
John Amaechi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Jordan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.10.100.12-0.05-0.033357%0.1000.001182%0.01
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.01350%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.020.00150%-0.0200.002100%0.03
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00636%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00737%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01741%-0.042-0.05333%-0.04
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.00714%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.07-0.021539%-0.103-0.086100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.428.215.033.11.830.3132.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +87.3%
WAS -10.4%
WAS -3.7%
WAS -24.6%
UTA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAWASNBAUTAWASNBA
this game16.216.715.6114.8105.7102.3
season16.116.5102.9102.2
opponent15.315.1103.9101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.519.213.917.716.2
WAS16.218.718.014.216.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall70700.62-0.120.730.0918-92715.618.6-2.9717.314.33.02
John Stockton61620.55-0.050.610.0617-82516.216.10.0617.315.22.14
Karl Malone79780.50-0.000.500.2110-11115.720.4-4.7416.519.0-2.54
Quincy Lewis59600.480.020.450.0415-62115.417.9-2.5416.816.60.14
Andrei Kirilenko27280.460.040.430.1710-11116.815.90.8417.416.41.04
Greg Ostertag30320.190.31-0.12-0.0890914.217.2-2.9717.316.40.93
DeShawn Stevenson25220.130.37-0.240.22-312-1517.215.81.4116.216.9-0.73
Scott Padgett2119-0.010.51-0.520.05-211-1316.016.2-0.1913.717.6-3.89
John Crotty2725-0.050.55-0.610.18-817-2516.116.2-0.0615.217.3-2.14
John Amaechi2724-0.110.61-0.720.18-1019-2919.714.65.0615.917.0-1.12
Bryon Russell1415-0.260.76-1.020.06-1120-3120.215.44.7818.516.32.19

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Laettner48470.02-0.520.55-0.156-152116.317.3-0.9617.814.33.47
Courtney Alexander24240.00-0.500.51-0.114-131718.516.02.5117.315.81.51
Richard Hamilton6465-0.02-0.480.45-0.3812-213316.617.2-0.6117.113.63.50
Etan Thomas78-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-2-517.616.60.9213.616.4-2.83
Hubert Davis2325-0.17-0.330.15-0.14-1-8714.017.7-3.7617.215.81.41
Popeye Jones4646-0.23-0.270.03-0.15-3-6317.815.52.3816.016.4-0.31
Kwame Brown2830-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.20-2-7514.118.0-3.9117.315.61.73
Bobby Simmons3232-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-134-1716.816.70.1414.617.1-2.46
Jahidi White4342-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-112-1317.515.91.6014.118.1-3.97
Chris Whitney4647-0.45-0.05-0.400.11-1910-2916.916.50.4015.017.5-2.47
Michael Jordan7474-0.560.06-0.62-0.24-112-1317.015.11.9416.216.4-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.21,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 92, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,091.5%
NOP 105, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.08,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.31,0.04,091.1%
CHI 97, LAC 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.05,091.1%