NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	6.4 [540]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +11.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	2.7 [232]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -20.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	20	40%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	23	53%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	21	39%	-0.06	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	29.0	15.8	28.0	2.4	32.4	137.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.5%

CHI +7.7%

LAC -4.4%

CHI +17.1%

LAC -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	15.6	101.0	94.8	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		102.6	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	14.7	14.1	14.1	14.4
LAC	13.0	17.2	18.6	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	68	69	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-11	28	14.7	13.7	1.01	16.4	13.4	3.00
Luol Deng	75	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-7	20	14.0	15.8	-1.81	15.7	15.5	0.19
Ben Gordon	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	2	2	15.1	13.5	1.54	15.6	15.5	0.11
Darius Songaila	43	44	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	4	-2	13.8	14.9	-1.05	16.3	15.0	1.28
Jannero Pargo	54	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.86	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Othella Harrington	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	0	6	15.5	14.0	1.57	15.0	15.8	-0.88
Andres Nocioni	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	7	-8	13.2	16.2	-2.92	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Kirk Hinrich	58	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	13	-20	16.1	11.8	4.27	15.7	15.5	0.17
Michael Sweetney	30	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	4	-2	12.5	15.2	-2.71	16.7	15.2	1.48
Malik Allen	13	14	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	14	-22	15.5	14.2	1.23	12.4	16.1	-3.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	31	32	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.18	11	-17	28	15.8	15.5	0.25	14.8	14.2	0.67
Quinton Ross	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	14.9	15.7	-0.87	16.0	14.1	1.88
Chris Wilcox	17	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.6	-0.16	12.9	14.7	-1.85
Daniel Ewing	45	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	16.1	15.2	0.91	14.7	14.1	0.63
Shaun Livingston	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-11	16	15.4	16.0	-0.63	13.8	15.4	-1.68
Elton Brand	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.3	20.0	-4.69	14.5	12.2	2.38
Cuttino Mobley	84	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	15.2	18.2	-2.93	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Sam Cassell	60	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	11	-28	15.9	15.1	0.74	15.0	13.4	1.52
Chris Kaman	79	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	13	-32	16.1	13.2	2.88	14.1	15.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
CHI 96, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%
SAC 120, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.4%