NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	120		Excitement	6.5 [567]		MVP	Nemanja Bjelica (SAC): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.9 [342]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -10.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	23	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	19	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.06	0.03	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Troy Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	15	64%	0.18	5	-0.11	14	64%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	25.4	15.4	27.8	1.8	34.4	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.1%

DAL -8.3%

SAC +0.7%

SAC +17.0%

DAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	12.4	14.7	14.3	112.1	106.6	109.3
season	13.3	14.7		109.2	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		109.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	10.7	12.0	11.3	15.7	12.4
DAL	15.6	14.6	16.3	12.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	11.8	14.0	-2.22	15.1	13.5	1.56
Buddy Hield	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-7	21	12.0	14.4	-2.39	15.1	12.8	2.27
Kosta Koufos	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	12.2	12.5	-0.30	14.0	15.0	-0.99
De'Aaron Fox	75	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	11.8	13.8	-2.01	15.3	13.2	2.18
Yogi Ferrell	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	3	1	13.8	11.8	2.01	13.2	15.3	-2.18
Bogdan Bogdanovic	83	81	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	12	-17	12.7	11.4	1.27	14.8	14.2	0.59
Willie Cauley-Stein	72	70	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	7	-7	12.5	12.2	0.30	15.0	14.0	0.99
Justin Jackson	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	6	-5	12.9	12.0	0.94	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Troy Williams	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	14.0	12.0	2.04	13.6	14.9	-1.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Broekhoff	15	16	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-16	25	12.5	15.0	-2.47	13.2	12.3	1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-11	15	13.7	14.9	-1.17	12.3	12.4	-0.13
Maxi Kleber	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-10	13	15.0	14.6	0.44	13.5	12.1	1.38
Dwight Powell	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	13.4	15.5	-2.14	13.8	11.5	2.24
Wesley Matthews	70	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-6	5	15.1	13.7	1.41	11.9	13.5	-1.61
Devin Harris	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	14.0	15.0	-0.97	13.7	11.6	2.07
Luka Doncic	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.2	13.2	1.99	12.1	13.1	-0.97
DeAndre Jordan	64	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	1	-9	15.5	13.4	2.14	11.5	13.8	-2.24
Jalen Brunson	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	0	-7	14.5	14.9	-0.40	12.4	12.3	0.11
Dorian Finney-Smith	50	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	6	-19	14.5	14.8	-0.36	12.2	12.6	-0.35
Harrison Barnes	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	7	-21	14.8	14.4	0.45	12.1	12.9	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.1%
CLE 102, OKC 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%