NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	7.3 [380]		MVP	Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): +30.7%
Miami Heat	119		Comeback	2.0 [625]		LVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): -25.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.02	18	69%	0.27	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.00	8	100%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.04	16	71%	0.23	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.08
Patrick Beverley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	4	75%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
KJ Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.07	0.03	20	26%	-0.26	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.25	0.11	0.06	15	82%	0.31	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	15	62%	0.19	4	-0.06	12	67%	-0.02
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	59%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	80%	0.18	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	25	42%	-0.07	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.8	26.4	14.7	28.2	3.4	38.4	142.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +23.2%

MIA +6.3%

MIA +21.8%

PHI -10.6%

MIA +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.5	111.9	116.7	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		115.6	112.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		111.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	16.6	12.8	14.8	14.6
MIA	11.4	11.8	17.2	15.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Reed	38	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.23	12	-18	30	12.3	16.0	-3.78	14.5	13.3	1.27
De'Anthony Melton	77	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-18	30	14.3	15.6	-1.31	14.6	11.2	3.44
Jaden Springer	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	8.0	14.8	-6.76	12.5	13.8	-1.28
Kelly Oubre Jr.	82	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-16	26	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.4	10.8	3.58
KJ Martin	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	1	-8	13.8	14.7	-0.98	12.6	13.9	-1.37
Tobias Harris	86	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-8	10	14.6	14.7	-0.05	14.1	11.9	2.16
Tyrese Maxey	90	92	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.1	10.4	3.72
Danuel House Jr.	14	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	6	-18	13.9	14.7	-0.89	12.0	14.0	-2.01
Mo Bamba	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	7	-20	16.7	12.4	4.26	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Marcus Morris Sr.	24	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	11	-28	15.0	14.5	0.55	11.0	14.6	-3.60
Patrick Beverley	27	27	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	12	-30	15.3	14.4	0.92	11.4	14.6	-3.24

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duncan Robinson	74	73	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.13	25	-19	44	12.7	16.6	-3.88	15.1	13.3	1.80
Jamal Cain	34	35	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-10	26	13.1	14.1	-0.96	16.0	13.9	2.11
Bam Adebayo	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	6	-6	14.5	11.5	2.96	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Kyle Lowry	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	6	-6	14.7	11.5	3.19	13.9	16.2	-2.22
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	83	82	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	7	-8	13.8	13.7	0.09	14.8	13.8	0.96
Tyler Herro	82	82	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.25	-4	10	-14	13.8	13.5	0.32	13.7	18.4	-4.68
Kevin Love	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	-2	10	12.5	14.4	-1.88	15.6	14.1	1.50
Caleb Martin	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	11.7	14.3	-2.63	14.3	14.7	-0.40
R.J. Hampton	34	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	15.4	12.9	2.49	15.0	14.4	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.9,0.91,0.95,1	91.2%
DET 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	91.1%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.96,0.96,1,1	90.8%