NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	122		Excitement	9.6 [98]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +46.9%
Brooklyn Nets	117		Comeback	2.7 [517]		LVP	Julian Strawther (DEN): -8.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.27	0.27	0.07	17	79%	0.47	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Murray	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.39	0.19	0.21	0.00	19	70%	0.43	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.07
Peyton Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	82%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	6	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Michael Porter Jr.	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,0,0	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	6	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	9	81%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.08	-0.03	7	72%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	8	59%	0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.07
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	0.00	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	21	48%	0.20	2	-0.16	6	100%	0.08
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	16	42%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	26.5	15.3	26.5	1.7	42.2	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +37.9%

BKN -27.4%

DEN +5.6%

DEN +33.3%

DEN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.5	129.8	124.5	113.9
season	15.0	14.8		116.8	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		114.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	15.6	15.2	15.8	15.1
BKN	16.9	15.7	13.1	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	69	67	1.16	-0.66	1.82	0.31	29	-24	53	14.6	16.2	-1.60	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Aaron Gordon	65	66	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.37	19	-14	33	14.0	17.4	-3.40	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Jamal Murray	68	69	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.35	18	-13	31	14.4	16.7	-2.30	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-10	25	14.1	16.8	-2.75	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Michael Porter Jr.	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-8	21	14.6	16.2	-1.56	15.5	15.7	-0.20
DeAndre Jordan	12	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	14	-23	16.3	14.9	1.46	14.2	15.8	-1.52
Julian Strawther	21	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	15	-25	16.7	14.6	2.13	15.9	15.5	0.40
Peyton Watson	35	36	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.16	-14	19	-33	16.5	14.2	2.22	16.3	15.1	1.14
Zeke Nnaji	12	12	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	14	-23	17.4	14.7	2.70	17.4	15.3	2.11
Christian Braun	30	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	17	-29	16.2	14.5	1.72	16.1	15.3	0.78
Reggie Jackson	29	27	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.00	-15	20	-35	17.4	14.0	3.35	16.1	15.4	0.70

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Smith Jr.	35	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.11	9	-14	23	17.1	14.7	2.45	15.8	14.6	1.16
Royce O'Neale	43	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-10	15	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Day'Ron Sharpe	36	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.4	14.8	0.62
Dorian Finney-Smith	59	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.39	11	-16	27	15.6	15.5	0.14	15.7	14.1	1.67
Nic Claxton	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	5	-15	15.8	15.2	0.59	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Cam Thomas	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	1	-7	15.6	15.6	-0.05	14.7	15.9	-1.13
Spencer Dinwiddie	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	6	-17	15.4	15.9	-0.43	15.5	14.2	1.30
Mikal Bridges	60	59	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	8	-21	15.0	16.6	-1.54	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Cameron Johnson	52	53	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.37	-13	8	-21	15.1	16.1	-0.98	14.4	15.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0	91.1%
BOS 98, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.22,0.15,0	90.7%
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	90.6%