NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	8.4 [218]		MVP	Malik Allen (CHA): +8.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	90		Comeback	3.5 [187]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -25.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	80%	0.14	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.14	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	37%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Eddy Curry	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	13	48%	-0.05	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	6	57%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	6	47%	-0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	-0.00	20	51%	-0.08	1	-0.10	11	73%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	9	25%	-0.16	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	31.5	15.5	27.3	1.8	36.0	139.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.1%

CHI +7.1%

CHI +17.1%

CHA -14.7%

CHA -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.9	15.5	102.2	98.9	104.0
season	15.1	15.5		100.1	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.4	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	11.7	15.9	15.1	14.6
CHA	14.5	16.0	19.4	18.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	30	31	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.51	9	-5	14	15.7	14.0	1.65	17.4	16.6	0.74
Antonio Davis	68	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-7	18	14.2	15.7	-1.46	16.1	19.1	-2.98
Chris Duhon	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	0	4	15.3	12.7	2.59	17.5	15.3	2.24
Kirk Hinrich	86	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-5	14	14.7	12.7	2.05	16.7	19.1	-2.43
Tyson Chandler	28	27	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	7	-10	14.6	14.6	0.03	17.0	16.9	0.09
Eddy Curry	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-2	8	14.0	15.3	-1.26	16.0	17.9	-1.91
Adrian Griffin	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	2	0	12.5	15.0	-2.46	17.2	16.8	0.38
Jannero Pargo	21	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	6	-8	11.4	15.5	-4.09	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Luol Deng	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.64	17.1	16.8	0.31
Andres Nocioni	18	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	13	-22	15.8	14.3	1.48	14.5	17.5	-2.99
Othella Harrington	38	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.09	-6	10	-16	15.9	13.7	2.23	19.3	15.2	4.19

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	51	52	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.02	7	-11	18	16.7	17.1	-0.35	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jason Hart	48	48	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-12	20	16.3	17.6	-1.25	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Theron Smith	59	61	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-1	-2	15.7	19.2	-3.48	14.2	15.3	-1.01
Kareem Rush	48	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	7	-18	16.5	17.3	-0.80	14.7	14.5	0.19
Jason Kapono	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.41	5	-9	14	17.3	16.7	0.54	15.0	14.3	0.68
Emeka Okafor	81	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	17.0	16.4	0.56	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Keith Bogans	41	42	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-1	-2	18.2	15.8	2.44	14.6	14.5	0.10
Brevin Knight	64	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	16.8	17.0	-0.19	14.7	14.4	0.28
Malik Allen	32	30	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	7	-18	18.7	15.9	2.85	17.0	13.4	3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	92.0%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.7%
ORL 73, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.04,0	91.3%