NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	5.3 [743]		MVP	Ziaire Williams (MEM): +11.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	1.4 [734]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	58%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.14	-0.04	0.11	14	73%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	14	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.06	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	19	42%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	26	54%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	7	93%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	0.05	10	91%	0.12	7	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.4	15.7	30.1	2.4	33.5	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +29.8%

MEM +5.3%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +2.5%

MEM +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	15.6	14.5	104.0	118.4	113.9
season	13.8	14.8		120.0	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	14.0	12.5	12.8	13.7
MEM	14.5	14.8	15.8	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	65	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-17	21	13.7	13.7	0.00	15.9	14.9	1.00
T.J. McConnell	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-8	3	15.4	13.5	1.94	12.5	15.8	-3.34
Tyrese Haliburton	74	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	14.3	11.7	2.62	15.7	15.0	0.73
Obi Toppin	57	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-22	31	13.4	14.1	-0.73	16.3	14.5	1.85
Andrew Nembhard	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-3	-7	13.4	13.8	-0.42	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Myles Turner	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-11	9	14.2	12.1	2.10	15.3	16.4	-1.17
Isaiah Jackson	27	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-2	-9	12.1	14.2	-2.10	16.4	15.3	1.17
Aaron Nesmith	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.28	-23	10	-33	13.9	13.3	0.55	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Bruce Brown	59	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-7	1	13.1	14.5	-1.47	15.8	15.2	0.61
Bennedict Mathurin	40	38	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	9	-31	13.3	13.9	-0.67	15.9	15.3	0.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Santi Aldama	49	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-11	35	16.2	14.9	1.27	13.7	13.7	0.05
Ja Morant	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-2	17	15.7	15.2	0.52	13.8	13.4	0.42
Vince Williams Jr.	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	15.0	17.1	-2.05	13.9	13.1	0.74
John Konchar	42	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	15.5	15.7	-0.21	13.9	13.5	0.40
Xavier Tillman	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	15.1	16.0	-0.91	13.2	14.1	-0.91
Bismack Biyombo	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	13	-13	15.1	15.8	-0.78	14.4	13.3	1.07
Ziaire Williams	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	7	-1	15.9	15.4	0.47	14.1	13.4	0.73
Desmond Bane	74	75	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	20	-27	15.9	14.6	1.25	13.0	15.7	-2.68
Jaren Jackson Jr.	69	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	21	-29	15.7	15.3	0.42	13.6	13.8	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.7,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.3%
TOR 91, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MEM 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%