inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 99 Excitement5.2 [805] MVPSamuel Dalembert (DAL): +9.0%
Dallas Mavericks 111 Comeback1.3 [842] LVPQuincy Pondexter (MEM): -12.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.120.010.051466%0.0810.007100%0.02
Nick Calathes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.08-0.000.061657%0.021-0.001090%0.01
Ed Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.020.051755%0.022-0.06475%-0.00
Mike Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01540%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Kosta Koufos-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00935%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.011148%0.003-0.091100%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01250%-0.003-0.09250%-0.01
Tony Allen-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.0260%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Quincy Pondexter-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.050.01425%-0.072-0.0600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.020.024100%0.122-0.036100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.090.080.040.031660%0.132-0.05887%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00852%0.0500.00580%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.01653%0.051-0.02367%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.010.041158%0.0200.004100%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.011748%0.011-0.031090%0.01
Gal Mekel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.020.031447%-0.012-0.051080%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.529.416.526.82.639.7143.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +22.3%
DAL +21.5%
MEM -13.0%
DAL +20.2%
MEM -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game15.014.615.1101.0114.4105.2
season16.415.3104.5109.0
opponent15.015.2107.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM17.013.015.215.115.0
DAL14.314.215.414.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer450.01-0.510.520.010-121213.515.0-1.5415.814.51.31
Tayshaun Prince3435-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-131415.614.60.9815.114.20.92
Nick Calathes1311-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-8416.714.71.9713.614.7-1.04
Zach Randolph7170-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-131415.114.70.3314.714.10.57
Ed Davis1413-0.19-0.310.110.10-10-2-814.015.1-1.1411.515.0-3.57
Mike Conley7678-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-131414.715.9-1.1415.012.72.33
Jerryd Bayless6363-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-131414.216.3-2.1214.414.9-0.55
Tony Allen4139-0.23-0.270.040.01-8-4-415.614.51.1315.613.81.77
Marc Gasol7171-0.24-0.260.02-0.271-131415.114.70.3315.412.33.02
Quincy Pondexter2827-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-120-1214.915.0-0.1214.014.8-0.72
Mike Miller3938-0.35-0.14-0.210.08-153-1814.915.0-0.0512.915.6-2.65
Kosta Koufos3635-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-164-2015.214.90.3013.615.1-1.54

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis76760.400.100.310.081111014.614.40.1615.413.51.97
Dirk Nowitzki65660.350.150.200.031111014.814.00.8814.815.4-0.68
Vince Carter54540.340.160.180.1084413.715.6-1.8814.715.3-0.61
Jose Calderon77750.300.200.100.1366015.012.82.1515.513.22.36
DeJuan Blair46460.300.200.090.0684414.314.8-0.4414.215.6-1.40
Shawn Marion68700.250.250.010.1739-614.714.20.5515.314.21.02
Jae Crowder31330.230.27-0.050.1148-415.314.21.0814.315.3-1.02
Samuel Dalembert51520.200.30-0.090.0948-414.814.30.4415.614.21.40
Gal Mekel17180.120.38-0.25-0.0257-211.915.1-3.1712.615.5-2.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 105, DAL 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,194.4%
NYK 88, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
MIN 89, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.0%