NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	119		Excitement	7.6 [342]		MVP	Marvin Bagley III (DET): +18.9%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	1.9 [417]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -10.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	12	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	16	75%	0.25	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	12	45%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Kris Dunn	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Collin Sexton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	0.01	0.04	18	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Luka Samanic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	12	85%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	45%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	87%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.05	16	67%	0.16	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	22	55%	0.06	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	27.6	14.6	27.0	1.5	33.6	128.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.2%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +25.4%

DET -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.5	115.5	108.8	113.9
season	14.7	14.2		113.7	108.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		117.6	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	14.4	13.0	15.6	14.3
DET	11.7	13.3	16.5	14.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	72	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-3	14	14.7	13.1	1.65	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Walker Kessler	43	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-9	26	15.4	13.4	1.96	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Taylor Hendricks	35	32	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	1	6	15.9	13.4	2.43	13.5	14.0	-0.50
Ochai Agbaji	70	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-2	12	14.4	13.9	0.55	13.9	13.7	0.26
Luka Samanic	20	20	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	14.3	14.2	0.12	15.5	13.4	2.12
John Collins	69	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	13.8	15.3	-1.51	14.0	13.5	0.47
Simone Fontecchio	62	64	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	6	-4	13.7	15.1	-1.36	13.8	13.9	-0.08
Kelly Olynyk	75	75	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	12	-16	13.7	15.8	-2.15	13.8	13.9	-0.01
Collin Sexton	69	70	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	18	-28	13.6	15.5	-1.91	14.1	13.2	0.86

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	71	70	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.27	12	-20	32	13.8	14.0	-0.18	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Marvin Bagley III	66	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-14	20	14.2	13.2	0.92	14.3	14.2	0.12
Jaden Ivey	76	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-13	18	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.3	14.2	0.09
Isaiah Livers	26	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	14.4	13.7	0.73	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Alec Burks	18	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	1	-10	14.1	13.8	0.26	14.7	14.2	0.54
Cade Cunningham	84	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	13.8	14.1	-0.26	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Marcus Sasser	26	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	5	-18	14.5	13.6	0.88	14.7	14.1	0.59
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-7	6	13.7	14.2	-0.51	14.6	13.4	1.12
James Wiseman	31	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	8	-24	13.3	14.1	-0.75	14.9	13.9	0.97
Ausar Thompson	39	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	10	-28	13.7	13.9	-0.20	14.0	14.4	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	92.8%
CHI 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.25,0.42,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.8%
GSW 114, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.5%