inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement4.1 [963] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): +14.9%
Toronto Raptors 104 Comeback1.4 [819] LVPZeke Nnaji (DEN): -6.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.04-0.005100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.02692%0.0900.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.140.030.102363%0.102-0.03367%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.00-0.041346%0.0500.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray0.030,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.01-0.052245%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Gordon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.02967%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Christian Braun0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.02437%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01744%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Zeke Nnaji-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.0430%-0.042-0.0220%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Barnes0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.080.110.010.032262%0.132-0.04475%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.020.051062%0.051-0.0210%-0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001649%0.021-0.01560%-0.02
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.010.04957%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00844%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Malachi Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.030.000.03837%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.822.214.724.02.028.2117.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.4%
TOR -6.4%
DEN +13.9%
DEN +9.6%
DEN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game15.714.414.5116.5110.6113.9
season15.014.0116.2111.3
opponent14.714.6117.6111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.913.518.218.015.7
TOR15.513.114.514.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic74720.51-0.010.520.0715-62116.812.44.3414.513.90.63
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope63610.440.060.390.0015-62116.714.12.5914.214.7-0.42
Aaron Gordon60590.410.090.31-0.0014-51916.414.71.6814.015.1-1.10
Jamal Murray64620.400.100.300.0512-31516.614.12.5013.915.3-1.35
Michael Porter Jr.63610.400.100.300.1110-11117.013.33.7214.314.6-0.37
Julian Strawther30300.130.37-0.250.1018-712.717.1-4.4014.914.20.69
Peyton Watson37350.090.41-0.310.24-514-1914.716.4-1.6815.114.01.10
Christian Braun36350.080.42-0.350.25-615-2114.116.7-2.5514.814.20.65
Reggie Jackson35330.050.45-0.390.20-514-1914.516.5-2.0114.914.10.79
Zeke Nnaji2322-0.010.51-0.520.17-615-2112.416.8-4.3413.914.5-0.63

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Boucher25250.05-0.550.59-0.198-172514.414.40.0116.015.70.29
Malachi Flynn3133-0.03-0.470.44-0.237-162314.814.20.5714.416.4-2.04
Precious Achiuwa4649-0.14-0.360.21-0.326-152114.714.10.5116.115.40.64
Scottie Barnes6467-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-5113.616.0-2.3616.613.82.81
Jakob Poeltl4039-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-123-1514.114.6-0.5515.915.60.26
Gary Trent Jr.5858-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-112-1315.712.33.4313.918.5-4.68
OG Anunoby7780-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.29-5-4-114.314.6-0.3116.114.12.04
Dennis Schroder6062-0.500.00-0.51-0.01-178-2513.815.4-1.6016.514.52.01
Pascal Siakam6972-0.550.05-0.59-0.05-178-2514.414.4-0.0115.716.0-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.07,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 113, NOP 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,095.4%
CLE 98, DET 880.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,095.4%
MIA 93, BOS 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,095.2%