inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 108 Excitement7.5 [362] MVPDaniel Gafford (WAS): +23.4%
Phoenix Suns 112 Comeback9.7 [427] LVPJordan Poole (WAS): -15.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gafford0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.230.190.080.041379%0.261-0.03786%0.01
Tyus Jones0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.170.14-0.01-0.031573%0.181-0.0100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00286%0.0800.003100%0.02
Bilal Coulibaly0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.03743%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0100.002100%0.01
Anthony Gill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eugene Omoruyi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01933%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.032237%-0.052-0.0320%-0.04
Deni Avdija-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.01644%-0.012-0.07475%0.01
Jordan Poole-0.150,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.001739%-0.074-0.082100%0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.160.160.010.13-0.022449%0.192-0.04967%-0.00
Drew Eubanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00775%0.142-0.072100%0.01
Devin Booker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.10-0.002451%0.205-0.12580%0.01
Grayson Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.00850%0.081-0.026100%0.04
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01965%0.081-0.02250%-0.00
Nassir Little0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00383%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.06-0.00743%0.102-0.0800%0.00
Chimezie Metu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001100%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.01733%-0.062-0.09450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.728.518.431.52.439.4145.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +36.6%
PHX +6.5%
PHX +30.4%
WAS -27.1%
PHX +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASPHXNBAWASPHXNBA
this game14.513.514.5104.9108.7113.9
season13.714.6109.8116.1
opponent14.414.1113.5118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.814.713.614.814.5
PHX12.813.014.114.013.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Gill010.01-0.510.520.010-440.014.5-14.5018.013.44.59
Eugene Omoruyi010.01-0.510.520.010-440.014.5-14.5018.013.44.59
Bilal Coulibaly4141-0.17-0.330.170.13-106-1615.913.62.3213.413.5-0.11
Mike Muscala2222-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-1-215.614.21.3813.413.5-0.06
Deni Avdija7070-0.21-0.290.08-0.396-101613.816.1-2.3313.213.9-0.71
Jordan Poole7573-0.23-0.270.03-0.416-101613.317.9-4.6012.815.1-2.37
Daniel Gafford7677-0.24-0.260.02-0.364-81213.916.1-2.2313.513.40.04
Danilo Gallinari2624-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-106-1616.213.92.3113.113.6-0.49
Tyus Jones8383-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.445-91414.016.4-2.4113.712.51.19
Kyle Kuzma7474-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-3214.315.1-0.7913.613.20.40
Corey Kispert4849-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-1713-3017.012.34.6714.312.71.62

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Goodwin39400.72-0.220.930.2217-133013.713.30.3416.313.33.02
Devin Booker91910.430.070.360.3722013.314.5-1.1814.018.2-4.14
Eric Gordon62630.420.080.340.0712-82013.413.6-0.2115.013.71.36
Drew Eubanks34350.340.160.170.0410-61613.913.20.7216.613.43.22
Grayson Allen73740.250.250.010.34-37-1013.513.30.1713.915.9-1.99
Kevin Durant76760.180.32-0.140.24-26-813.313.9-0.6413.916.1-2.18
Jusuf Nurkic67650.120.38-0.260.30-610-1613.513.40.1513.715.8-2.12
Nassir Little52500.080.42-0.350.34-913-2213.713.20.4814.614.50.11
Chimezie Metu2121-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-15-612.813.6-0.8114.314.6-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 89, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,193.3%
SAC 85, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,192.7%
MEM 88, NJN 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,192.7%