NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	119		Excitement	4.4 [889]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +16.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	127		Comeback	1.1 [959]		LVP	Saddiq Bey (ATL): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.03	0.01	21	73%	0.22	5	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	7	90%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	68%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	19	48%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	2	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	9	82%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	14	86%	0.19	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	8	89%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	21	48%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	26.4	14.7	29.0	1.8	31.0	128.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.3%

ATL -4.1%

CLE +26.5%

CLE +1.7%

CLE +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	16.4	14.5	122.7	130.9	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		115.7	112.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		111.1	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.6	15.0	11.3	11.1	13.2
CLE	12.7	17.0	18.2	18.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-15	22	12.7	13.5	-0.74	18.0	15.7	2.30
Wesley Matthews	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-16	24	12.4	13.9	-1.48	17.9	15.4	2.57
Patty Mills	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-7	6	14.6	12.8	1.78	18.0	16.0	2.04
Trent Forrest	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	16.0	12.8	3.18	17.4	16.3	1.09
De'Andre Hunter	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-5	2	13.2	13.3	-0.07	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Garrison Mathews	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	2	-12	14.2	12.9	1.35	17.4	16.1	1.29
Dejounte Murray	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-5	2	13.1	13.7	-0.64	16.5	16.4	0.10
Saddiq Bey	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	12.9	14.6	-1.69	15.8	18.6	-2.78
Trae Young	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	1	-10	13.0	14.3	-1.27	15.9	19.0	-3.14
Onyeka Okongwu	65	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	7	-22	13.5	12.7	0.74	15.7	18.0	-2.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-4	16	15.6	18.5	-2.88	13.3	13.1	0.24
Donovan Mitchell	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	1	6	16.8	14.3	2.57	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Jarrett Allen	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	3	2	15.0	21.4	-6.36	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Dean Wade	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	2	4	14.7	18.1	-3.42	13.8	12.7	1.14
Isaac Okoro	67	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	9	-10	15.5	18.6	-3.07	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Craig Porter Jr.	29	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	2	4	17.2	16.1	1.14	13.4	13.2	0.22
Caris LeVert	48	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	18.0	14.9	3.04	12.4	14.1	-1.71
Tristan Thompson	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	5	-2	21.4	15.0	6.36	14.1	13.0	1.10
Sam Merrill	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	4	0	16.9	16.3	0.59	14.9	12.9	1.95
Georges Niang	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	9	-10	18.7	15.5	3.20	13.6	13.1	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 104, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.1%
NYK 79, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 120, PHI 133	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%