NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	6.7 [487]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +29.8%
LA Clippers	121		Comeback	1.7 [694]		LVP	Brandin Podziemski (GSW): -23.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.28	0.04	0.02	15	88%	0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Moses Moody	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	6	69%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	17	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	11	18%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.06	-0.00	12	78%	0.34	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	13	75%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.02	16	66%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	15	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	30.8	14.8	25.2	2.4	33.6	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.4%

LAC +11.5%

LAC +3.2%

GSW -0.3%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	14.5	117.7	124.7	113.9
season	14.3	14.9		116.2	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.2	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	14.7	14.1	15.8	14.6
LAC	12.9	15.3	17.8	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	36	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-12	16	13.9	15.0	-1.08	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Dario Saric	36	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	13.4	15.2	-1.79	15.4	15.2	0.18
Jonathan Kuminga	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.0	15.2	-1.26	15.8	14.7	1.15
Kevon Looney	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.6	14.5	0.10	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Andrew Wiggins	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.7	13.6	2.06	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Trayce Jackson-Davis	9	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	3	-14	18.8	14.1	4.65	16.2	15.2	1.03
Brandin Podziemski	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	15.2	12.9	2.30	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Chris Paul	56	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.62	15.5	15.0	0.51
Stephen Curry	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-5	2	13.9	16.3	-2.46	15.3	15.1	0.23
Klay Thompson	60	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	4	-16	15.0	13.9	1.08	16.2	13.5	2.69

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	70	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-12	32	15.1	15.7	-0.59	14.7	14.1	0.64
James Harden	85	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	15.4	14.2	1.17	14.9	12.1	2.83
Amir Coffey	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	15.8	14.4	1.45	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Kobe Brown	15	14	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	-6	20	14.1	15.5	-1.43	17.0	14.1	2.85
Kawhi Leonard	81	81	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	9	-10	15.1	16.3	-1.24	13.6	19.7	-6.13
Russell Westbrook	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	1	6	15.3	15.3	-0.04	15.1	14.2	0.87
Ivica Zubac	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	11	-14	15.3	15.2	0.06	14.6	14.6	0.01
Daniel Theis	32	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	0	8	15.2	15.3	-0.04	15.9	14.0	1.90
Terance Mann	43	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.21	-22	30	-52	15.3	15.3	0.04	13.5	15.4	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
LAL 108, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.6%
DET 78, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.4%