NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	7.1 [436]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +19.7%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.1 [1142]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -17.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.16	-0.00	0.03	13	77%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	12	52%	0.17	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Luol Deng	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	76%	0.12	3	-0.14	5	60%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	15	47%	-0.02	7	-0.15	6	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.02	23	59%	0.30	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	13	78%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.02	0.02	17	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.04	-0.05	14	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	27.2	15.7	29.1	2.5	36.5	136.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.5%

LAL -7.2%

WAS +5.4%

WAS +20.2%

WAS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.1	14.7	14.8	103.8	112.6	107.7
season	14.5	14.4		104.8	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	12.9	12.9	11.4	13.1
WAS	13.5	13.3	15.9	16.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	14.1	12.6	1.51	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Nick Young	52	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-9	10	12.6	13.6	-1.00	15.2	14.2	1.05
Larry Nance Jr.	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	12.2	13.7	-1.47	15.1	14.5	0.64
Ivica Zubac	25	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	13.6	12.9	0.61	14.4	14.8	-0.45
Brandon Ingram	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	12.3	13.7	-1.42	16.2	13.6	2.56
Tarik Black	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-10	12	13.3	12.9	0.37	14.8	14.6	0.17
Julius Randle	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	4	-16	14.2	12.9	1.21	11.7	15.2	-3.49
Lou Williams	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-4	0	12.1	14.0	-1.96	15.0	14.5	0.58
D'Angelo Russell	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	13.6	12.1	1.46	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Jordan Clarkson	63	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	13.1	13.1	0.04	15.0	14.4	0.52
Luol Deng	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	13.7	11.8	1.91	14.0	16.1	-2.10

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	14.6	15.0	-0.33	13.5	12.2	1.31
Marcin Gortat	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	0	8	14.9	14.5	0.34	13.9	11.4	2.55
John Wall	84	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	15.0	13.6	1.36	13.3	11.9	1.39
Otto Porter	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	2	4	14.8	14.4	0.42	13.4	12.1	1.26
Markieff Morris	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	3	2	15.0	14.0	0.95	12.9	13.7	-0.87
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	1	6	13.7	15.9	-2.21	12.7	13.5	-0.73
Trey Burke	29	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	9	-10	14.5	14.8	-0.31	12.1	13.4	-1.30
Jason Smith	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.4	1.01	11.7	13.7	-2.03
Tomas Satoransky	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	11	-14	14.4	14.8	-0.42	12.0	13.4	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHH 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MIA 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	93.2%
WAS 95, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.2%