NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.0 [784]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +9.3%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	1.4 [713]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -17.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	16	71%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andrew Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Tyrone Hill	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	16	56%	-0.01	5	-0.16	11	91%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	14	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	15	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	16	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.2	15.5	22.6	2.7	38.3	132.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +10.6%

MIL -0.0%

CHH +18.7%

CHH +18.9%

CHH +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.6	100.0	110.0	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		101.1	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		102.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	18.4	18.8	15.1	17.0
CHH	16.0	12.1	17.2	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.0	17.4	-1.37	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Elliot Perry	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	16.2	18.3	-2.11	13.8	16.7	-2.89
Andrew Lang	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-2	-5	18.6	16.8	1.79	10.2	15.5	-5.30
Glenn Robinson	80	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-11	13	16.5	21.0	-4.49	15.3	12.0	3.32
Ricky Pierce	13	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	2	-13	21.4	16.3	5.11	11.3	15.6	-4.22
Tyrone Hill	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-9	9	17.2	16.0	1.15	15.6	10.2	5.39
Michael Curry	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	18.3	16.2	2.11	16.7	13.8	2.89
Ervin Johnson	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	17.0	17.1	-0.10	15.0	14.9	0.16
Ray Allen	87	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	16.8	22.7	-5.85	15.2	9.3	5.85

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-4	17	15.2	14.4	0.73	15.9	20.8	-4.89
Vlade Divac	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-5	19	14.5	18.2	-3.76	17.1	16.4	0.69
Anthony Mason	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	1	7	15.8	9.4	6.41	17.7	11.7	6.02
Dell Curry	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-4	17	13.1	16.8	-3.76	18.6	15.4	3.18
Corey Beck	13	11	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	11.5	15.6	-4.12	18.5	16.8	1.64
David Wesley	74	76	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	10	-11	15.9	10.6	5.31	17.1	16.5	0.61
Glen Rice	70	69	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	16	-23	15.7	12.5	3.14	16.8	17.8	-0.98
J.R. Reid	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	10.2	15.5	-5.20	12.6	17.4	-4.81
B.J. Armstrong	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	8	-7	7.0	15.3	-8.26	9.3	17.3	-7.94
Matt Geiger	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	14	-19	18.2	14.5	3.76	16.4	17.1	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.6%
MIA 113, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.91,1,1	92.9%
MIN 92, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%