NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	6.1 [584]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): +4.1%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.1 [1091]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -23.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Mitchell Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	23	53%	0.01	5	-0.16	11	73%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	17	28%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23	-0.11	-0.08	0.05	24	49%	-0.14	3	-0.10	17	71%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	73%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	19	50%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	33.0	14.8	27.1	1.7	42.3	142.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.5%

PHX +6.0%

WAS -4.8%

PHX +5.2%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	13.1	15.7	96.9	102.0	100.5
season	15.2	14.6		96.4	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.3		103.6	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	17.0	15.9	15.3	16.2
PHX	14.0	13.6	14.1	11.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-4	2	16.2	16.1	0.06	14.4	11.6	2.77
Brendan Haywood	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	15.7	16.6	-0.88	15.5	11.1	4.36
Mitchell Butler	36	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-5	4	16.2	16.1	0.05	10.8	14.5	-3.69
Chris Whitney	10	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	3	-12	19.5	15.8	3.72	9.5	13.5	-4.09
Jared Jeffries	78	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	15.7	18.0	-2.31	13.8	10.2	3.56
Larry Hughes	91	92	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.9	19.1	-3.21	13.5	8.3	5.17
Christian Laettner	33	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	6	-18	17.3	15.6	1.67	11.9	13.7	-1.73
Etan Thomas	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	16.6	15.8	0.78	10.9	15.2	-4.26
Gilbert Arenas	95	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-3	0	16.0	20.3	-4.30	13.2	11.5	1.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	91	88	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	12.9	15.0	-2.08	16.0	17.3	-1.27
Antonio McDyess	50	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-4	14	13.6	12.6	1.03	18.1	14.0	4.04
Leandro Barbosa	66	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	14.5	10.2	4.27	16.3	15.7	0.62
Shawn Marion	92	91	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	6	-6	13.5	8.3	5.17	15.9	19.1	-3.21
Casey Jacobsen	45	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	4	-2	10.6	15.2	-4.65	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Zarko Cabarkapa	12	13	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-1	8	11.6	13.3	-1.72	17.6	15.9	1.67
Donnell Harvey	30	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-1	8	11.6	13.7	-2.09	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	76	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	10	-14	13.4	12.1	1.28	15.8	17.4	-1.61
Maciej Lampe	34	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	13.5	12.9	0.67	15.6	16.4	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIL 112, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	94.6%
HOU 108, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.91,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.95,1	94.6%