NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +14.3%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.2 [1178]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -31.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0	0.20	-0.16	0.04	22	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Juaquin Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.08
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
James Posey	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	7	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	8	55%	0.02	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	12	72%	0.20	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	81%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.19	-0.03	-0.02	7	6%	-0.18	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.17,-0.32	-0.32	-0.15	-0.17	-0.00	26	41%	-0.21	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.4	26.6	16.4	26.4	2.8	39.2	134.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.6%

SAC +1.8%

SAC +17.6%

HOU -10.2%

SAC +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.5	110.2	113.5	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		101.7	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.6	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	16.9	15.2	15.5	15.6
SAC	13.5	13.1	13.6	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juaquin Hawkins	4	4	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.21	-4	3	-7	19.2	15.4	3.85	12.7	14.2	-1.42
Eddie Griffin	56	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-4	7	14.5	16.9	-2.39	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Moochie Norris	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	4	-9	17.5	15.0	2.50	14.8	13.9	0.89
Kelvin Cato	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	5	-11	17.9	14.6	3.27	14.7	13.9	0.80
James Posey	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	12	-25	15.5	15.6	-0.10	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Glen Rice	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.41	6	-7	13	16.0	15.1	0.96	14.8	13.5	1.28
Cuttino Mobley	84	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.55	7	-8	15	15.0	19.0	-4.01	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Steve Francis	79	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	15.2	17.2	-1.98	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Yao Ming	69	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.68	7	-8	15	14.6	17.9	-3.27	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Maurice Taylor	42	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	1	-3	16.9	14.5	2.39	14.9	13.6	1.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	41	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	1	-1	15.0	13.5	1.55	16.6	14.7	1.91
Vlade Divac	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.55	-6	7	-13	13.4	14.8	-1.43	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.56	-7	8	-15	14.2	13.7	0.54	14.3	19.2	-4.89
Mike Bibby	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-7	15	14.4	13.5	0.97	14.5	17.6	-3.08
Chris Webber	80	82	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.50	-8	9	-17	14.4	12.7	1.71	14.9	18.9	-3.96
Scot Pollard	50	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	-4	9	14.8	13.4	1.43	16.7	14.4	2.30
Keon Clark	16	16	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-8	17	12.7	14.4	-1.71	18.9	14.9	3.96
Hedo Turkoglu	16	16	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-8	17	12.7	14.4	-1.71	18.9	14.9	3.96
Jim Jackson	28	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	-1	3	14.5	14.0	0.49	18.7	14.2	4.48
Doug Christie	67	68	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	8	-15	13.3	16.0	-2.65	15.0	16.9	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.91,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,1	94.6%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.1%
NOH 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.77,1	94.1%